Overall, the mobile ad market is projected to rise from $160 million to $3.1 billion by 2013. Source

The bottom line: The prediction that search will take a growing chunk of mobile ad spending is a good one, but there’s one issue with this report: it ignores the idea that some other forms of mobile ads will emerge over the next few years. We’re still very early in the evolution of mobile marketing, so it’s reasonable to think that more forms, apart from the three mentioned here, will emerge. Peggy adds: This point has come through in my own mobile advertising research project, where executives revealed that  (surprisingly)ad spend on sponsored search and related schemes were low on the agenda. t The reason: mobile search is still riddled with shortcomings. More on why mobile search is broken here.

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NORTH AMERICANS ARE TAKING OUT MULTIPLE MOBILE SUBS, says Wireless Intelligence. It says that in the US and Canada, the average consumer had 1.3 mobile connections in Q3, and that while average revenue per connection is dropping, ARPU is actually going up – it’s just spread across more than one connection. The group says that real ARPU in North America has gone from $60 in 2006 to $64. Source

The bottom line: Expect to see this trend continue as more and more consumers adopt mobile-enabled netbooks, data dongles and other connected devices.

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MORE PEOPLE ARE FINDING THEIR WAY VIA MOBILE, according to a new report from Berg Insight. The firm says that the number of mobile subscribers downloading navigation apps and routes to their mobile devices doubled to 28 million in the first half of 2009 from the year-earlier period. The firm also says that the subscriber base will see a CAGR of about 34 percent over the next six years, resulting in a 160 million users by 2015. Source

The bottom line: The ability to look up maps and routes on mobile devices is one that many consumers love, and the continued growth of GPS-enabled handsets will certainly fuel growth in usage of navigation services. But the PND market won’t remain static: more and more cars will feature built-in satnav, and the price of standalone units will continue to fall, which may explain the relatively low prediction of 160 million users by 2015.

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SYMBIAN TO SHIP 180 MILLION HANDSETS A YEAR BY 2014, says Juniper Research. Despite the emergence and growth of other smartphone platforms, the firm says that shipments of devices running the Symbian platform will more than double over the next five years. Coupled with Android and LiMo devices, Juniper estimates the market for open-source handsets will be more than 220 million per year by that time.

Juniper further contends that the market will migrate towards open-source platforms, despite the popularity of the proprietary iPhone and BlackBerry platforms.  Source

The bottom line: Any decent smartphone OS should show volume gains over the next five years as sales of smartphones skyrocket. That said, the mass market doesn’t care about open-source vs. proprietary – they want devices that meet their needs, and there are multiple ways to skin this proverbial cat. The choice of open-source vs. proprietary is less important than getting the basic OS right, and then having an open enough platform to support app and service development.

ALMOST HALF OF MOBILE DOWNLOADERS GRAB APPS MORE THAN ONCE A WEEK, according to some research from GetJar.com, a cross-platform app store. GetJar’s users are an active bunch: 15 percent download once a week, and another 10 percent do it several times a month. About a third of the 5,000 respondents in the survey say they download because they always have their phone with them, while 28 percent do it to pass the time.

A third of those surveyed say they use apps while they’re commuting or on public transport, and perhaps a little surprisingly, 27 percent say they use them at home – though this follows earlier research on mobile TV usage, which found that many subscribers also used it quite often at home as a second or personal screen. Source

The Bottom Line: GetJar has been around for several years, and is the largest independent source of mobile app downloads in the world, so its data can be quite useful to get an idea of what users of devices other than the usual smartphone suspects are doing. These figures show that it’s not just iPhone users who have a voracious appetite for apps – a point that’s often missed by many.

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ONE OF EVERY 7 MINUTES OF US MEDIA CONSUMPTION NOW COMES FROM MOBILE, according to new research from ad agency Universal McCann and AOL. They also report that 80 percent of US smartphone users are satisfied with the quality of the internet service on their mobile device. Almost 40 percent said they’d taken action based on mobile ads, and 22 percent said a mobile ad had influenced a purchase decision they made. Still, reach remains something of an issue: the survey says there are 63 million mobile web users in the US, with 19 million of them accessing the mobile web on a weekly basis. Source

The Bottom Line: More evidence that mobile is already an established part of the media landscape, and one to which marketers need to be paying attention. Furthermore, the survey highlights the viability of mobile ads and their ability to influence viewers.

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MOBILE DISPLAY ADS INCREASE BRAND AWARENESS AND RECOGNITION, says the IAB UK, based on research by Brand Driver using banner ads for Kit Kat candy. The group says that being exposed to mobile banner ads significantly raised spontaneous and first-mention awareness of Kit Kat, and was particularly effective at doing so among 18- to 34-year-olds. It also says that incentives are important to mobile ad viewers, with 51 percent in the survey saying they were more likely to interact with a mobile ad that offers something to them in return. Meanwhile, creative is also important, as 41 percent says they clicked through just because they were interested in a particular ad. Source

The Bottom Line: Taken in concert with the above data from the US, once again this research reinforces the utility and ability of mobile advertising to effectively engage audiences. The ability to incentivize advertising also gives mobile a leg up, by making it easier for marketers to offer something in return, such as free downloads or the chance to enter a competition, as Kit Kat did here.

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SALES OF LOW-COST HANDSETS AND OPEN-SOURCE OS SMARTPHONES ON THE RISE, says Juniper Research. The company predicts that annual sales of low-cost handsets will rise 22% through 2014, to over 700 million, as growth in emerging markets continues for mobile operators. Meanwhile, it separately predicts that the number of smartphones running open-source operating systems (such as Symbian and Android) will grow from 106 million this year, to 223 million in 2014. Source

The Bottom Line: Emerging markets continue to be a strong growth area for the mobile industry, and content providers should keep them on their radar. Meanwhile, the diversity of smartphone operating systems isn’t going away, meaning developers will still need to deal with the hassle of fragmentation to hit their target markets.

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MOBILE MORE IMPORTANT THAN PCS FOR YOUNG AMERICAN WOMEN, according to research from SRG. Its recent Women and Digital Life Study found that women under 25 spend twice as much time – 2.8 hours per day – on their phones, compared to the 1.2 hours per day for women over 40. The young women spend slightly more time on their PCs (2.9 hours) than their mobiles, whereas older women spend significantly more, 3.5 hours per day. Unsurprisingly, the study found that younger women also used more features of their mobile more often than older women. Source

The Bottom Line: It shouldn’t be too surprising to discover young people using their mobiles more frequently and for more activities than older users, but perhaps the biggest takeaway here is the length of use figures for PC vs. Mobile. They’re essentially equal for young women, showing that mobile can be just as viable a way to reach young women as the web via PC.

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MOBILE M&A ACTIVITY STANDS OUT, while much of the rest of the market is quiet, says The Jordan, Edmiston Group. The company tracks merger and acquisition activity in the media, information, marketing services and technology sectors, and says 171 deals worth a collective $4.1 billion were done in Q2. While activity is still down significantly over previous years, the company says it has seen an uptick in recent weeks, and that mobile remains something of a bright spot. Activity in the Mobile Media & Technology sector was up 46 percent in the first half of 2009 over the previous year. Source (PDF)

The Bottom Line: Like many other corporate transactions, M&A activity remains low given economic factors. But mobile is still a hot area, and one that’s widely tipped to outpace many other technology sectors in the short to medium term. Still, it’s a buyer’s market, at least for those with access to capital, particularly as many startups and smaller players struggle to find the funding they need to keep going, and keep growing.

However, smart companies know that a sluggish economy spell opportunity for businesses that know how to move forward when the economy is standing still. Indeed, the doom-and-gloom mood hasn’t stopped 50+ industry heavyweights from around the world from meeting in London in June for an executive brainstorm about the future profit opportunities in an open mobile world.

I am reminded of the recent MSG podcast with Tom Huseby, Managing Partner, SeaPoint Ventures, and his observation that there is plenty of money and opportunity in mobile, but it’s up to entrepreneurs to structure their good ideas so VCs get it. Mobile has enjoyed an exceptionally high growth trajectory and even the credit crunch can’t discourage VCs from investing. “On the whole, venture capitalists have not run out of money. The bars are high and it’s difficult, but my gosh, my advice to entrepreneurs is keep working on your idea until it does appeal to the money, or don’t use the money to do it.” What has VCs excited? Open systems, open storefronts and open operators – and lots of apps.

Against this backdrop, the timing couldn’t be better for an industry event sharply focused on what open is (and isn’t). Yes, it’s about new and increasingly open business ecosystems (where mobile operators can still play a central role provided they play according to the new rules). But open means much more. It’s about the convergence of platforms and devices to blur the boundaries between the physical and virtual worlds, and transform communication, content, advertising, search and retail.

More importantly, open is about the shift from command-control to coordinate-cultivate, a seismic shift in how we do business and make money.

How do we get there from here? What models are sustainable and which are hype? There are no easy answers. However, the Open Mobile Summit (June 10-11 in London), produced by Robin Batt, an independent consultant with 13 years experience in the space, certainly covers all the bases to offer attendees insights that will allow them to take charge of the wave of change rather than be crashed by it. (In fact, even Google is attending!)

I was so impressed by the line-up of topics and top-notch speakers that I immediately signed on to be a premiere media sponsor and moderate the session on mobile advertising. I am pleased to report I now have 5 heavily discount passes to share with readers at just £995, valid until 26 May. VIP code: MSG. Register here http://www.openmobilesummit.com

The Open Mobile Summit, like the emerging value chain it represents, brings together world-class speakers from mobile operators, handset OEMs, wireless software houses, and Internet and applications companies, to explore how to profit in an open mobile economy. I hope you will join me and senior executives from T-Mobile, Vodafone, TeliaSonera, O2, Google, Nokia, Yahoo, RIM, Acer, LG, Motorola, and Symbian – plus a mix of VCs and industry analysts at this powerful cross-industry networking event.

The Open Mobile Summit provides an executive summary on all the key strategic developments – and growth areas – in mobile today. Including:

• App Stores: Fad or Future?
• Who will own the mobile desktop?
• Beyond the phone
• Internet vs made-for mobile
• Future of the Operator Deck
• Inter-connected Entertainment
• Mobile Advertising
• Where’s the value in open mobile
• How to monetize mobile Internet
• Open APIs and Smart Pipes

Full agenda here http://www.openmobilesummit.com/agenda.aspx

Speakers include:

Operators:

• Christopher Schläffer, Group Product & Innovation Officer, Deutsche Telekom * Keynote Speaker
• Kenneth Karlberg, President Business Area Mobility Services, TeliaSonera * Keynote Speaker
• Yves Maitre, SVP Devices, Orange
• Dr Mike Short, Vice President R&D, Telefonica O2 Europe
• Hossein Moiin, Fellow Mobility, British Telecom
• Tanya Field, Director, Mobile Data Group, Telefonica O2
• Pieter Knook, Director Internet Services, Vodafone
• Ed Candy, Former CTO, 3
• Nabeel Mardi, VP Device Development, T-Mobile International
• Christiane Vejlø, Head of Innovation, 3 Denmark
• Chris Bruce, GM, BT Openzone
• Geraldine Wilson, CEO, Truphone
• Martin Wrigley, Director Technology, Orange

Devices:

• Alan Brenner, SVP, RIM * Keynote Speaker
• Christy Wyatt, Vice President, Software Platforms and Ecosystem, Motorola * Keynote Speaker
• Aymer de Lencquesaing, Senior Corporate VP, Acer
• Marco Argenti, VP Media, Nokia
• Jin-Sung Choi, VP Mobile Communications, LG Electronics
• Jon ‘maddog’ Hall, Chief Advocate, openmoko

Internet / Applications:

• Hugo Barra, Global Director Mobile Applications, Google
• Mitch Lazar, MD, Yahoo! Mobile, Europe
• Frank Keeling, MD Europe, Glu Mobile
• Steve Ives, CEO, Taptu
• Ray Anderson, CEO, Bango
• Paran Johar, CMO, JumpTap
• Ted Wugofski, CTO, Handmark
• Russell Buckley, VP Alliances Admob / Chair MMA
• Ilja Laurs, CEO, GetJar
• Jakob Berg, CEO, Popcatcher
• Rob Lewis, CEO, Omnifone
• Sean Kane, Head of Mobile, Bebo Inc

Software and Silicon:

• Lee Williams, Executive Director, Symbian Foundation * Keynote Speaker
• Morgan Gillis, Executive Director, LiMo Foundation
• Kiyo Oishi, CEO, Access Systems * Keynote Speaker
• Rich Green, former EVP, Sun Microsystems
• Jon S von Tetzchner, CEO, Opera
• Jay Sullivan, VP, Mozilla Foundation
• Enrico Salvatori, SVP & GM, Qualcomm Europe
• Gil Rosen, Vice President – Strategic Initiatives & Customer Experience, Amdocs Interactive

Analysts and Organizations:

• Henry Stevens, Entertainment and Media Director, GSMA
• Philipp Diebert, Executive Program Manager, NGMN
• Tim Raby, MD, OMTP
• Mike Grant, Partner, Analysys Mason
• Matt Hatton, Principal Analyst, Analysys Mason
• Caroline Gabriel, Rethink Research
• Simon Torrance, CEO, STL Partners / Telco 2.0
• Philipp Hoschka, Deputy Director, w3c
• Peggy Salz, Editor, MSearchGroove
• Ajit Jaokar, Founder, Futuretext
• Stewart Anderton, Principal Consultant, Ovum
• Robert Andrews, Editor, paidContent:UK

Content / Media / Agency:

• Christian Lindholm, Partner, Fjord
• Scott Seaborn, Head of Mobile, Ogilvy Group UK
• Sunil Gundeira, VP Mobile, Disney EMEA
• Barney Wragg, Independent Media Consultant
• Rob Unsworth, VP, Digital Chocolate

Investment community:

• Rajeev Chand, Managing Director Wireless, Rutberg & Co
• Rod Hall, Executive Director European Comms, JP Morgan
• Kaj-Erik Relander, Partner, Accel Partners
• James Enck, Senior Partner, mCapital

I hope to see you there, and if you want to catch-up or meet-up, then please reach out to me at peggy@msearchgroove.com – or schedule a slot with my PA Andrea Henninge (andrea@msearchgroove.com).