Among the overall findings:

• Devices don’t’ matter (much): Users with standard feature phones will use the Web as much or even more than a smartphone user if the mobile Internet experience is good
• There is a ‘long tail’ in the mobile Internet: The top website typically accounts for 5 percent of total mobile page views. The number two site accounts for less than 1 percent of traffic. And the top 500 sites account for only 25-30 percent of all page views
• Sessions vary: 40 percent of mobile internet sessions are under five minutes and 40 percent are over 15 minutes

The report further groups mobile users into ‘tribes’ based on their distinctive user profiles. These are:

• The Business Pro – Dependent on their mobile to be more productive and to handle all their communications
• The Mobile Millennial – Early adopters and young adults with disposable income
• The Connected Kid – Children and teenagers who have grown up with technology from a young age
• The Multitasking Parent – Use their mobile phone to stay in touch and manage family schedules
• The Frugal Fanatic – Cost conscious of spending, usually opting for a free handset

Based on these observations and segmentation the report concludes:

• Multitasking Parents and Mobile Millennials are the most active user populations, generating nearly 2/3 of mobile browsing sessions between them
• Business Pros even with their highly capable devices, generate less mobile browsing sessions than expected. They also use news, sports and information sites twice as much as nearly all other groups and are lowest for social networks
• Mobile Millennial and Connected Kids are by far the heaviest users of social networks
• Frugal Fanatics utilise handset customisation services more than twice as much as any other group
• Connected Kids have far more page views relative to sessions than any other group, indicating they tend to surf more for entertainment purposes
• Source

The bottom line: The Mobile Internet, and indeed many mobile services, would fail to survive and thrive without technical companies such as Novarra, largely unknown to the masses, but which provide critical back-end solutions. Peggy adds: Kudos to Novarra for an excellent report! Not a lot of rocket science here, but an important confirmation of the groups of people on the mobile Web and an overview of what they do. Read between the lines, and you’ll see there is a great deal of untapped value in developing (and branding) life-enabling/life-simplifying services for the Multitasking Parents and Mobile Millennials, who are the most active user populations and – potentially – most responsive to companies that make their lives easier. (I highly recommend you check out my fireside chat with Ogilvy’s Rory Sutherland, packed with some surprising business model suggestions, supported by the findings above.)

***

LOCAL MOBILE CONTENT ATTRACTS SIGNIFICANT AUDIENCE. Local content views are up 51 percent over the past year, according to comScore figures. Research also reveals that application downloads are leading the growth.  It observes an 83 percent increase in the number of subscribers to local content via applications since March 2008, with text messaging services also outpacing average growth.  The study shows a 72 per cent increase in SMS subscriptions in the 12 months to March 2009.

Meanwhile, browser based access continues to grow at a rate of 34 percent year on year over the same period and, despite the slower growth rate, remains the dominant method for retrieving local content.  It accounted for 63.7 percent of all downloads in March 2009. Earlier research by comScore found younger mobile users tend to retrieve more entertainment content, while older users across Europe usually prefer financial information. Source

The bottom line: These generally encouraging comScore statistics confirm our hunch that applications downloads and mobile Internet usage are on the rise. However, the surge in local mobile content may not reflect a universal trend. It’s likely that the popularity of local content is a product of context. In other words, local content thrives in a handful of large, dense, urban regions where high-speed network coverage and captive audiences are the norm. Peggy adds: These stats also question our assumption that the global giants we know rule the roost. Take Skyrock in France, which is bigger that Facebook can ever hope to be. The popularity and reach of local content – particularly on personal devices such as our mobile phones – is sure to climb.

***

MOBILE ADVERTISING FOR MOVIES AND ALCOHOL SET BENCHMARK for industry, according to a study by Amethon Mobile Internet Insight.  The study also states that despite high CTRs, brands should focus on the quality of engagement.

Analysis of traffic to more than 100 mobile advertising sites found that consumers view just over 3 pages per visit for best-in-class campaigns, while the average across all campaigns analyzed was only 1.53 pages. Only 33 percent of consumers venture beyond the first page of mobile campaign sites, which the research says suggests mobile advertising campaigns need more compelling content within the microsite to engage consumers more effectively.

The report found that movie related campaign sites achieve the highest engagement levels, visitors viewing an average of 1.65 pages per visit, a figure that also accounted for a 21 percent share of overall audience. Alcohol campaigns achieved a similar share of audience but suffered from poor engagement, with users often not navigating beyond the age verification page.

Portal and directory service campaigns were the most common (22 percent of all campaigns), but had a relatively low audience share and below-average engagement.  Meanwhile, content downloads such as branded wallpapers or videos in the microsite did not significantly improve engagement. Source

The bottom line: This detailed study of mobile advertising offers insightful statistics to support what many have been saying all along: Advertising must be relevant and engaging.  While it probably comes as no surprise that interest in advertising around films takes the top shot, a lot of work has to be done in the way of creative thought to the landing page and what people do after they click through. This is particularly pertinent in view of the drop off in popularity of wallpapers and video.  The other issue of poor engagement in popular alcohol campaigns, possibly due to age verification process is disappointing but not surprising or uncommon.  I explore age verification issues in more detail in a recent post here.

***

40 PERCENT OF USERS ACCESS INTERNET MORE OFTEN ON iPHONE / iPOD TOUCH THAN ON PC, according to a new demographic study from comScore and Admob.  The research also reveals that 69 percent of iPod Touch users are between 13-24 years of age, while the same age segment represents just 26 percent of iPhone users. In total, 74 percent of iPhone users are over the age of 25, compared to 31 percent of iPod touch users. Over 70 percent of users on both the iPhone and iPod touch are male.

Over the next six months, iPhone users are said to be planning to buy clothing (57 percent), entertainment (47 percent), and travel (45 percent), while iPod touch users plan to purchase clothing (61 percent), entertainment (53 percent), and mobile devices (36 percent).

By way of background, the methodology used in this primary research into the demographics and behavioral characteristics of iPhone and iPod touch users in the first half of 2009 is as follows: Participants were visitors to domains within the AdMob iPhone network who were shown survey invitation banners rather than banner ads. Those who clicked through the survey banner were presented with the mobile survey. The total sample size of iPod touch participants is 3,848, while the total number of

participants in the iPhone sample is 3,454. All results were tested for statistically significant differences at the 95 percent confidence level.  Source

The bottom line: As well as the headline that 40 percent of users access the Internet via their mobile device more often than their computer, the other key finding is the age differentiation.  You could surmise from this that teenagers can convince their parents to buy them an iPod touch, but not an iPhone and all its recurring bills. Other findings such as average salary were largely in-line with the age difference.  The ongoing generation of such data is key in the production of applications and the execution of mobile advertising strategies.

***

LG EXPECTS NINE PERCENT RISE in mobile sales.  The Korean handset manufacturer has said it will sell 110 million devices this year, despite a flat global market. The company has also said this figure will rise to more than 200 million by 2012. Source

The bottom line: Handset manufacturers marginalized, at least in publicity terms, by the “bigger” names now have an uphill task to continue producing new quality devices which will gain mass market penetration and to effectively promote their core differentiators.  These bullish projections are encouraging signs of a still highly competitive marketplace.

However, smart companies know that a sluggish economy spell opportunity for businesses that know how to move forward when the economy is standing still. Indeed, the doom-and-gloom mood hasn’t stopped 50+ industry heavyweights from around the world from meeting in London in June for an executive brainstorm about the future profit opportunities in an open mobile world.

I am reminded of the recent MSG podcast with Tom Huseby, Managing Partner, SeaPoint Ventures, and his observation that there is plenty of money and opportunity in mobile, but it’s up to entrepreneurs to structure their good ideas so VCs get it. Mobile has enjoyed an exceptionally high growth trajectory and even the credit crunch can’t discourage VCs from investing. “On the whole, venture capitalists have not run out of money. The bars are high and it’s difficult, but my gosh, my advice to entrepreneurs is keep working on your idea until it does appeal to the money, or don’t use the money to do it.” What has VCs excited? Open systems, open storefronts and open operators – and lots of apps.

Against this backdrop, the timing couldn’t be better for an industry event sharply focused on what open is (and isn’t). Yes, it’s about new and increasingly open business ecosystems (where mobile operators can still play a central role provided they play according to the new rules). But open means much more. It’s about the convergence of platforms and devices to blur the boundaries between the physical and virtual worlds, and transform communication, content, advertising, search and retail.

More importantly, open is about the shift from command-control to coordinate-cultivate, a seismic shift in how we do business and make money.

How do we get there from here? What models are sustainable and which are hype? There are no easy answers. However, the Open Mobile Summit (June 10-11 in London), produced by Robin Batt, an independent consultant with 13 years experience in the space, certainly covers all the bases to offer attendees insights that will allow them to take charge of the wave of change rather than be crashed by it. (In fact, even Google is attending!)

I was so impressed by the line-up of topics and top-notch speakers that I immediately signed on to be a premiere media sponsor and moderate the session on mobile advertising. I am pleased to report I now have 5 heavily discount passes to share with readers at just £995, valid until 26 May. VIP code: MSG. Register here http://www.openmobilesummit.com

The Open Mobile Summit, like the emerging value chain it represents, brings together world-class speakers from mobile operators, handset OEMs, wireless software houses, and Internet and applications companies, to explore how to profit in an open mobile economy. I hope you will join me and senior executives from T-Mobile, Vodafone, TeliaSonera, O2, Google, Nokia, Yahoo, RIM, Acer, LG, Motorola, and Symbian – plus a mix of VCs and industry analysts at this powerful cross-industry networking event.

The Open Mobile Summit provides an executive summary on all the key strategic developments – and growth areas – in mobile today. Including:

• App Stores: Fad or Future?
• Who will own the mobile desktop?
• Beyond the phone
• Internet vs made-for mobile
• Future of the Operator Deck
• Inter-connected Entertainment
• Mobile Advertising
• Where’s the value in open mobile
• How to monetize mobile Internet
• Open APIs and Smart Pipes

Full agenda here http://www.openmobilesummit.com/agenda.aspx

Speakers include:

Operators:

• Christopher Schläffer, Group Product & Innovation Officer, Deutsche Telekom * Keynote Speaker
• Kenneth Karlberg, President Business Area Mobility Services, TeliaSonera * Keynote Speaker
• Yves Maitre, SVP Devices, Orange
• Dr Mike Short, Vice President R&D, Telefonica O2 Europe
• Hossein Moiin, Fellow Mobility, British Telecom
• Tanya Field, Director, Mobile Data Group, Telefonica O2
• Pieter Knook, Director Internet Services, Vodafone
• Ed Candy, Former CTO, 3
• Nabeel Mardi, VP Device Development, T-Mobile International
• Christiane Vejlø, Head of Innovation, 3 Denmark
• Chris Bruce, GM, BT Openzone
• Geraldine Wilson, CEO, Truphone
• Martin Wrigley, Director Technology, Orange

Devices:

• Alan Brenner, SVP, RIM * Keynote Speaker
• Christy Wyatt, Vice President, Software Platforms and Ecosystem, Motorola * Keynote Speaker
• Aymer de Lencquesaing, Senior Corporate VP, Acer
• Marco Argenti, VP Media, Nokia
• Jin-Sung Choi, VP Mobile Communications, LG Electronics
• Jon ‘maddog’ Hall, Chief Advocate, openmoko

Internet / Applications:

• Hugo Barra, Global Director Mobile Applications, Google
• Mitch Lazar, MD, Yahoo! Mobile, Europe
• Frank Keeling, MD Europe, Glu Mobile
• Steve Ives, CEO, Taptu
• Ray Anderson, CEO, Bango
• Paran Johar, CMO, JumpTap
• Ted Wugofski, CTO, Handmark
• Russell Buckley, VP Alliances Admob / Chair MMA
• Ilja Laurs, CEO, GetJar
• Jakob Berg, CEO, Popcatcher
• Rob Lewis, CEO, Omnifone
• Sean Kane, Head of Mobile, Bebo Inc

Software and Silicon:

• Lee Williams, Executive Director, Symbian Foundation * Keynote Speaker
• Morgan Gillis, Executive Director, LiMo Foundation
• Kiyo Oishi, CEO, Access Systems * Keynote Speaker
• Rich Green, former EVP, Sun Microsystems
• Jon S von Tetzchner, CEO, Opera
• Jay Sullivan, VP, Mozilla Foundation
• Enrico Salvatori, SVP & GM, Qualcomm Europe
• Gil Rosen, Vice President – Strategic Initiatives & Customer Experience, Amdocs Interactive

Analysts and Organizations:

• Henry Stevens, Entertainment and Media Director, GSMA
• Philipp Diebert, Executive Program Manager, NGMN
• Tim Raby, MD, OMTP
• Mike Grant, Partner, Analysys Mason
• Matt Hatton, Principal Analyst, Analysys Mason
• Caroline Gabriel, Rethink Research
• Simon Torrance, CEO, STL Partners / Telco 2.0
• Philipp Hoschka, Deputy Director, w3c
• Peggy Salz, Editor, MSearchGroove
• Ajit Jaokar, Founder, Futuretext
• Stewart Anderton, Principal Consultant, Ovum
• Robert Andrews, Editor, paidContent:UK

Content / Media / Agency:

• Christian Lindholm, Partner, Fjord
• Scott Seaborn, Head of Mobile, Ogilvy Group UK
• Sunil Gundeira, VP Mobile, Disney EMEA
• Barney Wragg, Independent Media Consultant
• Rob Unsworth, VP, Digital Chocolate

Investment community:

• Rajeev Chand, Managing Director Wireless, Rutberg & Co
• Rod Hall, Executive Director European Comms, JP Morgan
• Kaj-Erik Relander, Partner, Accel Partners
• James Enck, Senior Partner, mCapital

I hope to see you there, and if you want to catch-up or meet-up, then please reach out to me at peggy@msearchgroove.com – or schedule a slot with my PA Andrea Henninge (andrea@msearchgroove.com).

To fully understand the significance of Scanbuy’s decision, it’s important to review the events and announcements that have effectively dealt companies up and down the mobile barcode business ecosystem (Scanbuy included) a new hand of cards.

First came the decision in February by the United States Patent and Trademark Office to re-examine the patent claims filed by NeoMedia Technologies, a provider of barcode scanning solutions. The move prompted NeoMedia to push forward in March on a patent licensing program and tie up with other vendors (3GVision, Mobile Discovery, Mobile Tag, and NeuStar) in a pilot program based on open standards in a bid to show interoperability between the technologies out there and – more importantly – position NeuStar, a short code registry, as a central clearinghouse in the middle. More about this model and Jonathan’s own take in the podcast.

I appreciate that the barcode space is a tough one to navigate, which is why I also recommend this simple primer from Tim Green over at Mobile Entertainment.  Unfortunately, he wrote it before this flurry of activity.

So, what moved Scanbuy to open up the specs to the code that Jonathan stresses has been “labelled” proprietary (thus repeating the discussion around semantics that we began in this earlier interview on MSG)? At one level, it is a giant step toward building a viable ecosystem. But we can also read it as reaction to the pilot program (supported by players 3GVision, Mobile Discovery, Mobile Tag, NeoMedia, and NeuStar).

In response to my comment that NeuStar is clearly positioning itself to play the honest broker in a kind of hybrid model, Jonathan reminds me that Scanbuy can now also play the role of a trusted third party. “We don’t have a proprietary code or reader any more.” (Before Scanbuy’s wise decision to go open, other barcode companies could make a case that it was a closed shop with Scanbuy the only company that could both issue EZcode barcodes and decode them.) The argument from other vendors was that they didn’t have a choice because Scanbuy was the only company that could provide the technology, Jonathan explained. “But that now is off the table.”

NUTS & BOLTS: Scanbuy has committed to publishing the specifications for reading EZcodes, giving companies/developers the ability to create EZcodes. “So, a software company could create software for handsets which enables handsets to read those codes, and they could also create server side software which allows them to create the codes.” Plug-ins? They appear to be work in progress. “We’re looking at that; we made the announcement first. [As to] how we implement it, we’re looking at a lot of different tactics on how to release it and what the best way is.” De-coding? “Anybody who currently creates handset software to de-code barcodes could integrate these specifications into their current decoders.  So, 3GVision, for instance, who have software which de-codes QR and data matrix, could build in the functionality to also de-code EZcodes.

PROCEDURE & SUPPORT: For now, it’s all through Scanbuy. “Over the coming weeks they’ll be able to look at the specifications and create a platform which meets the specifications to create the codes on their own, if they want.” Meanwhile, Scanbuy is thinking through the details of offering support. “Support will probably not be free, however. So we’ll make the specifications free, support is probably going to cost.  What it’s going to cost, I’m not sure.”

OPEN STANDARD: Open is the direction the industry needs to go. While the pilot program, led by NeuStar, may be on the mark, Jonathan wonders whether it might not be too much, too soon. “Too many players, too early, can create too much competition and confusion in the market and it’s not necessarily a good thing.” As he puts it: “To have multiple players, you have to have multiple revenue opportunities for those players to be able to operate and compete, and it’s not clear right now what everybody’s revenue model is in that scenario.”

NEUSTAR: “We’ll see what happens over the next few months.  Obviously we are playing the most active role in the U.S. today as the only authorized code and the only authorized platform provider, so, we’re a major player in the space in the U.S. and we believe we’ll continue to be going forward.” (NeuStar has a strong focus on the U.S. market, thus Jonathan’s comments are limited to that geography.) Not satisfied, I put the question to him straight: What is Scanbuy’s position and will it participate in the pilot? “They [NeuStar] are positioning themselves as the clearing house which everything goes through. It’s not clear to us that they will play that role, so for us participating in the pilot at this point, we don’t know that it’s in our best interest to do that at this point [time].  We believe that if that is the final structure that the carriers decide is the best for the U.S. market, there will be a role for us to play. But it’s not clear. By no means is this the de facto structure for the U.S. market.”

DRIVERS: What is going to move barcode solutions out into mainstream mobile marketing and advertising campaigns? “This market will happen if readers are built into phones by the carriers, not by pushing downloads to consumers.” (By way of background, Scanbuy’s ScanLife handset application has already been pre-loaded on handsets from LG, Nokia, Samsung and Sony Ericsson, and been made compatible for mobile phones running on Google Android as well as BlackBerry, iPhone, Java, Symbian, and Windows Mobile.) “The carriers need to decide, OK, are we bundling readers on our phones or not? Sprint in the U.S. is about to start pre-loading our software on their phones, which is great news for the industry and for us.  But we need the others to get on board, and this has to become standard in every phone just as your Internet browser is that you use on your mobile device.”

EUROPE: Spain and Italy lead the pack – mainly because operators in these countries have chosen to pre-load readers on all their handsets. “What you’re starting to see [in Spain] is widespread code use. Marketers can go to several different campaign managers and get their codes, and they [the codes] will work across multiple operator platforms and handsets in the market.  If that’s the ecosystem that evolves, codes will be everywhere and they will be completely integrated into all marketing materials at all levels for marketers and media.”

DIRECT/INDIRECT MODELS: Which models are popular where? Japan has embraced a direct model (routing the user who scans the barcode directly to a site/destination). The trend in Western Europe, Latin America, and the U.S. is toward an indirect model, where scanning the barcode takes the user to a third-party server (where the site/action linked to a specific advertising campaign can be stored but also changed on the fly to freshen the sales pitch or simply point the user to a different site). “What you’re seeing in countries like Australia …is this hybrid approach where the campaign managers create a direct code that has a URL embedded in it, but that URL goes to their platform and the platform then tells it what URL to link to. So it’s a direct code but it goes through a campaign manager’s platform, not to the person who is putting the code out.” Could the U.S. adopt a similar model to make barcodes work? It could, provided that “code readers are ubiquitous on all phones; they read direct codes but the codes go to authorized campaign manager platforms.”

OUTLOOK: Is huge (!), but not all countries are moving at the same pace. “The markets where carriers and handset manufacturers are embracing it and getting phones into the market with software on them will take off the fastest.” In 2-3 years “codes will be everywhere in Spain and Italy.” In the U.S., the timeframe is “probably 3 to 4 years, and Latin America is probably 3 years.” Are we heading for a shake-in or shake-out? “From a competitive standpoint, I think you’re going to have major players in different geographies and the players in each geography will get stronger; there won’t be a lot of competition in each geography.” There may be a couple of players, but there are not going to be ten, for example. And this goes double for clearinghouses. “There aren’t going to be ten clearing houses in Spain or Italy or the U.S.

HOT TOPICS: In the U.S., it’s about “patent-related questions” and figuring out the right structure and ecosystem to take barcodes to the next level. In Europe it’s about growth – because the market is growing – and identifying the catalysts for even stronger growth. What’s next for Scanbuy? The excitement builds as the company nears the launch of two carriers in Spain, laying the groundwork for the first cross-carrier launch in Europe. “Spain will be the first country to actually launch and be operational with an interoperable system, and therefore our other markets around the globe, Latin America, US, Denmark, will be interoperable with those platforms so we’ll have a multi-country, 5 to 7 country interoperable system up and running in the next six weeks.”

My take: As I wrote earlier, the focus on open standards changes all the rules. The Scanbuy announcement signals a new chapter in the barcode industry (and a long overdue rethink on the part of Scanbuy). It also jumpstarts an equally overdue discussion around openness. But – as we know from similar discussions elsewhere in the telecoms and IT industries – there are different degrees and definitions of openness. How open is open and which open is best? The jury is out on that one.

In the meantime, there’s no overlooking the overlap between Scanbuy’s new push toward open standards and the progress of a pilot program (in which Scanbuy currently has little interest) aimed (likewise) at establishing open standards and a viable ecosystem. From my vantage point, the laundry list of fragmentation and intellectual property issues has yet to be satisfactorily resolved. But that’s not an excuse for not moving the market forward. Scanbuy’s decision marks real progress toward openness – and there is no turning back for anyone. Now all parties will have to walk the talk (and abandon the rhetoric we read across the blogosphere) if they want mobile advertisers to embed barcodes in their marketing strategies and not just dabble with one-off experiments.

Speaking of walk the talk, today Scanbuy’s EZ codes features on the cover BrandDigital: Simple Ways Top Brands Succeed in the Digital World, a business book by branding expert Allen Adamson. The 2D barcode on the back cover connects directly to the title’s page on Amazon’s mobile website, making this the first book to be sold in North America that includes an EZcode to sell the title via the mobile device. As Jonathan put in a statement: “This is a perfect example of how a 2D code placed on any physical media can send an interested shopper directly to a purchase opportunity. The mobile commerce experience has improved substantially over the past twelve to eighteen months, and we expect to see more of these applications in the future being initiated through our technology.”

This scenario also figures prominently in the Netsize Guide 2009, a 250-page mobile industry overview I wrote and offer for free download via a link on the homepage (sidebar).

Barcodes or visual search? Which technology approach will best link our virtual and physical worlds to support commerce? What do YOU think?

(I should mention at this juncture that the MSG global mobile industry research project and publication will feature a section on barcode companies and showcase successful mobile advertising campaigns. If you are a company in this space, or would like MSG to consider a mobile advertising campaign case study for inclusion in this work, then please contact me directly (peggy@msearchgroove.com).