Google’s Android Market is a distant second (60 percent), followed by Nokia’s Ovi Store (30 percent) and RIM’s BlackBerry App World (27 percent). Respondents could choose more than one answer – which is why the total exceeds 100 percent.

Surprisingly, applications stores run by mobile operators finished low in the list, indicating  that platform providers and handset makers may well dominate the space for a time to come.

When asked to rate the unique selling proposition of application stores over other software distribution and sales channels, 65 percent of respondents placed the advantage of having “everything in one place” at the top of the list. This was followed by compatibility “software applications specific to the device”), choice (“a long tail of thousands of applications to choose from”), and ease of payment (“operator billing, for example”).

My take: Brand is important – but it’s not decisive. Sure Apple leads the pack – but the credit for its competitive advantage goes to its keen focus on the ‘4 C’s’ – Convenience, Compatibility, Choice and Charging. The good news: get that right and it’s possible to become a leading destination for software applications. The better news: operators have the capabilities mix to excel in charging (a core competence) and choice (stocking app shelves with lots of cool apps and making shopping a no-brainer through intelligent product placement and sophisticated content discovery). The game isn’t over yet….

Note: The complete mobile trends survey results – which cover topics related to mobile entertainment, mobile marketing, mobile commerce, mobile payments and mobile convergence — will be released as part of the Netsize Guide 2010, the comprehensive mobile industry analysis and almanac I have written on behalf of Netsize. Netsize will launch the Netsize Guide 2010 on February 16th at Mobile World Congress (MWC).
For an exclusive preview copy of the Netsize Guide 2010 and the Mobile Trends Survey results prior to their official launch on 16 February, please contact Alexander Vlasblom, Group Marketing Communications Director, Netsize.

Disclaimer: Netsize is an MSG supporter.

In the first of a series of quest columns Colm Healy – Vice President of EMEA services and General Manager of Xiam Technologies, a Qualcomm company – dissects the discovery dilemma.

Search, recommendation and discovery tools are commonplace on the web. We are used to having an intermediary between us and the content that we will eventually consume.

There are many ways in which that intermediary can appear, how we access it, and how it can go about its business, but its role is the same – to enable us to find content. Content that we are looking for; content that we might be looking for; and content that providers want us to see.

The reason that these tools exist is, quite simply, because there is too much content available to do without them. We need some service in place to help us find what we want.

The same now applies to mobile content, be it content designed specifically for mobile, or web content accessed via the mobile. The amount of content available has exploded in recent years to the point where the search, recommendation and discovery tools essential on the web are equally important in our mobile experience.

Key drivers for this explosion in content creation and availability have been led, first and foremost, by the adoption of mobile as an ever-present attachment to our lives, and, in turn, the reliance on the mobile device as a device for more than simply communications.

Evolving from this is the increasing sophistication of mobile handsets – from now so-called ‘Vanilla’ phones, to feature phones, to the emergence and unremitting growth of the smartphone category – users now have mobile handsets that are capable of processing any of the content out there on the web, including HD video. Enabled by the network developments to support increased bandwidth capacity and faster peak data rates, users are now capable of consuming almost any content through their mobile handset.

The user behaviour that this creates represents an incredible opportunity for content developers and publishers. And for the retailers that provide access to that content.

Yet the challenge for all players in the mobile ecosystem is centred on enabling users – buyers – to find the content that they want.

User Research

At Xiam, we recently commissioned TNS Global to carry out transnational – UK and US – research into the experiences of mobile content users which found clear evidence that discovery was standing in the way of a satisfactory mobile user experience. More importantly for the players in the mobile ecosystem, discovery of content is standing in the way of significant revenue opportunities, and creating a user experience that deters customers and will, ultimately, lead to increased customer churn.

The study, which began with a representative sample of 2,666 mobile content users and derived quantitative and qualitative research by focussing more closely on the most active users, revealed an enthusiastic but frustrated demand for easy to use content and applications.

A key finding of the research highlighted that content discoverability was a significant issue, with eight out of ten users reporting a problem obtaining content on their mobile handsets. When it came to finally finding the content for which they were searching, mobile Internet users were, on average, unsuccessful 27% of the time.

Users were frustrated by the time required to find the information they were searching for, and access the specific content that they wanted. Slow page loads, too many layers on websites, and too much irrelevant information are frequent annoyances for mobile content users.

Yet the opportunity presented by mobile content was reiterated by the fact that almost two-thirds (63%) of consumers surveyed indicated that they would spend more time browsing and purchase more content if it was personalized and easier to find.

How We Search

Though mobile content is a relatively new arrival on our plate of entertainment and services for consumption, users are already set in their ways, accessing the same types of content and doing so via the same search tools. Both, more often than not, an extension of their traditional, online content and search habits from their laptop or PC.

Mobile web browsers tend to use search engines (with Google the most frequently referenced), bookmarked sites or to enter URLs directly.

This reflects, very clearly, that there is no significant, regular influence on users as to the content for which they search:
• Search engines are a powerful tool for giving you specifically what you were looking for, though they are far from flawless
• Bookmarked sites are sites that the user has previously visited and had a productive experience of using
• Directly entered URLs indicate that the user knew precisely where on the mobile they wanted to go

Using the mobile network operator’s content portal is one of the less often used methods for accessing content, and was rated in our survey as least effective for finding desired content. Respondents reported that the service provider’s portal was often poorly organised, and that relevant content was not easily and directly accessible.

Those same users reported that they would increase the time and money spent on mobile web browsing if relevant content was easier to find. 59 percent said they would spend more time accessing content – translating to, on average, 65 minutes more per month. And 37 percent said they would spend more money on content purchases – translating to, on average, £5 more per month.

A further criticism of service provider portals was focusing too much on content downloads (i.e. sales) rather than on providing information and a service. Information on events and special promotions, as well as relevant recommendations based upon previous choices of the individual user would enhance the operator’s value to end users significantly.

This element – recommendation enabling discovery – is primary to any mobile content service as it cuts through the time consuming search procedure, and improves the experience of the user. The model adopted and made famous by Amazon – ‘if you liked this, you might also like this’ – is a simple and effective one. The more sophisticated this can be, the more effective the results will be.

And with the myriad different types of content and applications available, a tool to enable the discovery of content that is highly relevant but might otherwise go unnoticed can be especially valuable. Valuable to the user; valuable to the manager of the portal or store; and valuable to developers and publishers of the content, who will focus their efforts towards a provider that can enable their offering to be discovered.

One of Qualcomm’s key messages to the industry is that the mobile experience has to evolve beyond simple search and move toward personal discovery, making the user’s experience more intuitive. These results point to a huge opportunity for operators to increase mobile data usage and sales by providing personalized mobile apps, content and services.

Colm Healy is vice president of EMEA services and general manager of Xiam Technologies for Qualcomm Internet Services (QIS).  QIS helps accelerate consumer adoption and consumption of mobile content across all networks and devices by delivering a more engaging mobile experience that is contextual and relevant to consumers’ personal interests. In his current role, Healy manages all business relationship and deployments of Qualcomm’s services solutions within the EMEA region. As general manager of Xiam Technologies, a wholly owned subsidiary acquired by Qualcomm in March 2008, he continues to lead the team’s efforts in selling and deploying Xiam’s discovery and recommendations products to a worldwide network of mobile operators including Vodafone, Orange, O2, AIS and Globe.

Disclaimer: Xiam is an MSG supporter.

I suspect his thought-provoking blog will do more than set the tone for my book; it will impact the app store debate that will likely dominate 2010. Just look at the recent raft of app announcements: Analyst firm IDC predicts there will be more than 300,000 iPhone apps by the end of next year, compared to 75,000 Android apps; Samsung takes the wraps off its Bada app platform; and (just today) Orange officially opens its app store to users in the U.K. and France, offering more than 5,000 apps for Java, Android, BlackBerry, Symbian and Windows Mobile.

Connect the dots, and the avalanche of apps turns up the pressure on providers and mobile operators to be good retailers and put stuff we’re likely to appreciate where we can find and buy it. Common sense really.

Or is it? Not is we consider the statement from Nenad Marovac, Managing Partner, DN Capital, who was speaking at Heroes of the Mobile Screen earlier this week, In his view, “Operators should be pipes and shut up.” Hmmm… not much room in that model for mobile operators to wield the stockpile of analytics they collect (such as our browsing patterns and past purchases) to present us with a selection of apps we’re likely to appreciate.

In preparation for my own industry report on personalization and recommendation I have spent the last weeks interviewing a who’s who of industry players and their customers (mobile operators/service providers) who are convinced  the company with the most (and best) data wins. It’s a battle between operators (really smart pipes) and aggregators (Google & Co.) – and personalization and recommendation could just be the capabilities that distinguishes the leaders from the also-rans.

With that in mind, we continue MSG’s special podcast series on the top players in personalization, and conclude with Part 2 of my interview with Stephen Oman, Amdocs ChangingWorlds Worldwide Director Sales Engineering. Changing Worlds is an Irish provider of personalization technology that was recently acquired by Amdocs and is now part of Amdocs Interactive.

In Part 1 we dissected the content discovery dilemma, looked at on-portal challenges and examined the results of the company’s recent study that underlined the importance of personalization in determining and delivering mobile advertising.

In part 2 we explore personalization off-portal and across app stores.

ROLE OF THE MOBILE OPERATOR: As Stephen sees it: the operator has a spot at the “center of the Internet.” Their job: “helping the subscriber to go on to the Internet, helping them find the right content, helping them with additional suggestions which they might be interested in, and so on.  In doing that, they’re becoming if you like a partner to the subscriber when they are browsing the internet.” So, there’s an opportunity here for the operator to “set themselves up in essence as the home page for the mobile Internet for their subscribers.”

APP STORES: In many ways, it’s a repeat of the content discovery problems we know from on-portal. But it’s also an issue that independent developers will also face as they try to engage people and compete with similar, rival apps across the store. As Stephen puts it: Making an effort to personalize the content will “help people find more niche types of applications that may exist, and that would never appear in the what’s hot today or what’s in the top 10 for today.”

LONG-TAIL VERTICAL APP SCHEMES: Reports show that many apps downloaded are actually productivity apps. Additionally, apps are being downloaded by professionals in line with their professions. So, will we see a plethora of app stores split across lines such as task (apps to do “x”) or jobs (apps for doctors, for example)? Stephen was intrigued by the idea and agrees that we will likely see the launch of vertical app stores (similar to the vertical content portals that offered only ringtones or wallpapers). “It’s pretty much the same as you see in retail, you do have retail stores that sell pretty much everything, but you also have niche retail stores that cater for particular audiences.”

THE GROWTH OPPORTUNITY: In a word: convergence. “Increasingly the mobile operators’ customers are expecting and demanding that if you like connected lifestyle….Crucially, they’re looking to be able to access services across many different devices: their mobile phone, online, through their TV, through digital TV, and that convergence of access is essentially going to improve and drive growth in the mobile digital economy.”

Editor’s note: This special focus on personalization and recommendation continues in the New Year with a look at a cool new recommendation company coming out of stealth mode and an analysis of Novarra. I had to reschedule this one a few times, but this time it is timed to some important news. Not one to miss!

Disclaimer: ChangingWorlds is not an MSG supporter.  However, MSG has published a by-lined thought leadership column authored by a ChangingWorlds senior executive. MSG has also participated in an invitation-only  thought leadership event organized by Amdocs.

Listen to the podcast here. [15:12]

Related posts:

PODCAST: ChangingWorlds Reveals Real Impact Of Personalization On Mobile Advertising CTRs; Google Shows Mobile Advertising Is Hot (Again), But Will Personalization Make The Market Sizzle?

SPECIAL REPORT: GETTING PERSONAL Openwave Adds Mobile Analytics; Are Gateway Providers The Ones To Watch? PLUS New Report/Project With GigaOM Pro

PODCAST: Bytemobile CMO Adrian Hall: Operators’ Can Win On Personalization; Does A Widget Bar Do One Better Than An App Store?

MSG DEBUT VIDEO: Xiam Talks Targeting & Filtering; Make Way For The Personalized Web!

GUEST COLUMN:Using Personalization To Pump Up The Volume & Increase The Value Of The Mobile Internet

At first, the endgame was about boosting personalization to improve the mobile operator portals (that forced us to navigate through multiple menus) and cut the clicks to content that we genuinely appreciated. Typically, operators implemented personalization tools to bubble up cool content to the idle screen, taking the hassle out of finding and buying content on the device.

Fast forward, and on-portal is no longer where (all) the action is. The explosion in the number of app stores — software applications supermarkets run by handset makers, operators and independent players such as GetJar – increases our interest in finding stuff we like, and the sheer abundance of apps turns up the pressure on companies across the emerging ecosystem to make finding cool stuff a no-brainer.

By way of background, the content discovery dilemma was expertly outlined in a recent post by Alfred DeRose, who heads Tego Interactive, a Web and mobile product and services company specialized in integrated solutions for converged businesses determined to get more out of their digital assets. Working with clients to address a variety of issues around content discovery has allowed Tego to create a series of “cheat sheets” and white papers describing the problem and offering suggestions/solutions. So, watch this space.

PERSONALIZATION FOR THE PEOPLE

Put another way, content discovery is back at the top of the agenda and interest in personalization/recommendation technologies (to expose people to apps they are likely to appreciate) is also on the rise.

I know this from my interviews with vendors and operators, and from studying a raft of recent stats confirming (through app downloads) that we do indeed want more mobile stuff than ever. However, a disturbing hole in the argument has been (until this week) a lack of insight into what the people want.

Indeed, the underlying assumption has been that poor discovery (and even more miserable mobile search, as this in-depth post from my last mobile search master class shows) frustrates us (because we can’t find what we want) and forces mobile companies (operators/content owners and now developers) to leave money on the table.

So – how serious is the content discovery dilemma, really? Are people really frustrated? And would they buy more if it was easier?

NEW SURVEY

Thanks to a new survey of 2,666 mobile users in the U.S. and the U.K. — conducted by research firm TNS Global on behalf of Xiam Technologies, a Qualcomm subsidiary providing discovery and recommendations solutions to mobile operators – we finally have some thought-provoking stats.

The key data point: 80 percent of people experience some sort of problem getting stuff. The three biggest barriers: stuff is hard to find, phone and interface issues are a pain and the content is just plain irrelevant.

MOBILE SEARCH DOESN’T CUT IT

People are relying on mobile search to discover content, with some 68 percent using search engines to find what they want. 58 percent type in the URL. But – when it comes to effectiveness – people report URLs (83 percent) and bookmarks (89 percent) are the best ways to find content. Mobile search comes in a close third. Interestingly, 67 percent said the handset manufacturer portal was an effective way to find content; 67 percent said operator/service provider portals were effective.

Overall, people complained they are unsuccessful in accessing/purchasing (!) content they want 27 percent of the time.

WOULD PERSONALIZATION HELP?

In principle, it would. Assuming it was easier to find personalized stuff, almost 60 percent would spend more time accessing content and almost 40 percent would spend more money. Would people accept customized recommendations to find stuff they like? Approximately half of people survey in both the U.S. and the U.K. would accept suggestions.

HOW MUCH MONEY CAN BE MADE

Specifically, people said they would spend over an hour a week (55 percent increase) more accessing stuff with their mobile phones and over $8 per month (148 percent increase) if finding and buying was a no-brainer.

In addition to these consumer insights, the report is chock-full with interesting stats about the type of content people download (apps lead the pack) and pay for (games); top mobile sites (service provider destinations/portal trail the likes of Google, Yahoo, Facebook and the BBC); and the gripes people have about their providers (too pricey, too difficult to use and un-cool content).

MOBILE SOCIAL FUTURE

My personal thanks to Martin Clancy, Xiam Marketing Manager, for bringing my attention to the report (in a pre-briefing) and for arranging an interview with Colm Healy, Xiam CEO, to connect the dots. Naturally, much of this analysis is reserved for my report.

However, one exciting observation I can share is the pivotal importance of “significant others” (peers, friends, like-minded people) in the content app suggestions we can expect moving forward.

As Colm put it: The space is “in the eye of the storm.” App stores up the ante and force companies across the ecosystem to focus on personalization and recommendation as means to expose people to the stuff they are likely to appreciate and – ultimately – purchase.

App stores are the place to go – but what is going to keep us coming back for more?

Colm believes that social discovery will provide that stickiness. As he puts it: Recommendations from our friends will be the way we find apps.

But the challenge is not just in harnessing rants and raves from our peers to complement personalization and drive discovery. The real work is in creating recommendations that will work across the plethora of app stores coming on line. “There are unique challenges related to app store fragmentation. If I’ve discovered a great app on an iPhone, obviously what I want to do is let my friend know about that great app. But – if they have a different phone – then the question is how to direct them to the right app for that particular phone.”

Another trend high on Colm’s radar: apps to discover apps. As Colm sees it: Smartphones are chock-full of features and functionalities — clever technology that providers could/should harness to sell us on the wealth of apps at our finger tips. It’s all about taking advantage the interface and features such as location, the compass and the accelerometer (to name a few) to help people get to apps they would likely appreciate.

My take: Personalization has been at the center of mobile since the start. First people bought content (such as ringtones) to personalize their devices. Then companies implemented technology to deliver personalized suggestions and idle-screen takeovers as a way to help people navigate the avalanche of content and cut the clicks to content. It’s work in progress. Now the explosion of app stores pushes the content discovery issue back to the top of the agenda for operators, handset makers, developers – everyone. As this report shows, people would spend more time and money accessing stuff on their mobile phones if it were easier to do. Moving forward, people will likely not only appreciate personalized recommendations (particularly if they come from their peers). They may even come to expect them.

Disclaimer: MSG relies on Tego Interactive for the creation and integration of its online and mobile destinations/strategies. Xiam has aligned with MSG to publish a sponsored series of thought leadership columns and contributions beginning in December 2009.

I am honored to follow Judy as the new Keeper of the Tents. It’s also a good time to consider new directions and activities to grow the Carnival and its roster of contributors. Thanks to the Mobilists who have contacted me to wish me the best in this new role, and a special thanks to Volker Hirsch and Srinivasarao Nandiwada (nsr), who have reached out to me to help guide the Carnival through this transition period.

It’s all about new energy, new idea and new horizons — and a new phase in the development of the Carnival. If you’re a member, submit your suggestions for consideration by the group. If you’re not a member, then get involved!

Now let’s get this show on the road!

Over at Volker on Mobile Volker Hirsch challenges us to rethink what we mean by “social media.” In his view, “empowered media” is a much better term since we are literally empowered to create, capture and communicate everything around us. The question is: how should we wield this power? Fortunately for us, Volker doesn’t settle for a philosophical discussion of the issue; he uses the recent incident involving Ian, the London subway worker (now unemployed) who threatened a passenger to drive an important point home. Was it Ian’s misfortune that Jonathan MacDonald – a social media authority well-known to us at the Carnival – was nearby? Or was it Jonathan’s responsibility to capture the “rant”, publish it, tweet it and tell us all? Read and decide.

But mobile is more than a social media (or empowered media) tool. Over at mobiEnthusiast.mobi Holly Kolman draws our attention to mobile’s potential as an educational tool with the example of BuckleUp.mobi. The mobile site urges people to use their seat belts and features important related for drives on the fly. Check it out and spread the word.

A truly eye-opening post from Mark Jaffe over at Mobile Mandala based on a chance meeting with a Flirtomatic executive. Mark walks us through some surprising numbers from the source and wakes us up to the wealth of opportunities around giving people who don’t own smartphones a good user experience. Are companies leaving money on the table by catering to the high-end device crowd? Read Mark’s insightful post and decide.

And while we look for answers to these questions James Coops over at mjelly reminds us that it’s the search for apps we like in the App Store (actually all applications stores) that will likely take up the lion’s share of our time (and patience). His extremely helpful and worthwhile post (which includes a list of sources and services that assist in iPhone app discovery) provides us a how-to to navigate the confusing terrain. From social discovery tools to app review sites, his post is one to bookmark. Check it out and add your suggestions.

(For another look at the issues around content discovery and some helpful stats to put the problem in perspective, you may want to check out last’s week’s submission from Tego Interactive, a company out to tackle this issue head-on.)

Another valuable resource is a must-read list of mobile marketing case studies via mobiThinking.com. The list includes many campaigns (from a who’s who of brands and agencies) that were submitted to the Mobile Marketing Association. (The winners will be announced on November 17 at the Mobile Marketing Forum in Los Angeles.) But it doesn’t stop there. Andy Favell, mobiThinking.com editor, has invited agencies to send in their case studies, an admirable outreach that will likely turn the site into a top-notch destination for what’s new in mobile advertising. Check it out and contribute to the conversation!

And finally, Enrique Ortiz at About Mobility: A Technology & Products Weblog About All Things Mobile gives us his take on the seismic shift in the Nav market. Does Google Maps Nav — now with real-time always up to date maps and nav info, turn by turn directions, live traffic information and even street view – disrupt the market and threaten the likes of TomTom? Read on and share your views.

My pick of the week? Although the resources provided by mjelly and mobithinking deserve special mention (I’ve bookmarked both for my ongoing work in content discovery and my new mobile advertising project), Mark Jaffe’s down-to-earth post speaks volumes about the biggest challenge facing the mobile industry: it’s own inability to see the pent-up demand among ordinary people – with rather ordinary devices – for extraordinary service.

Thanks to Mark for pointing this out and let’s all work to spread the word!

Next week the Carnival moves to Mobileslate. See you there…

For one, the service allows for integration of Amazon’s “1-Click” checkout, the feature that lets customers make purchases using credit card information stored within their Amazon.com accounts. In practice, customers sign in using an MPS-enabled app and then, after the service verifies them, they can by stuff using their mobile phone without having to sign in again. This is ideal for enabling recurring and micropayments in the mobile environment.

As this post from ReadWriteWeb shows us, it only takes four simple steps for a mobile shopper to buy something using this new technology.

But it’s more than a no-brainer for mobile shoppers. We’re told that developers and merchants already using Amazon Payments service on their websites can essentially go mobile without additional development work. This is because the service detects when people are using a mobile device (as opposed to a PC) and automatically switches over to the mobile optimized payment interface.

Connect the dots, and Amazon has moved us all a giant leap toward the end goal for the industry – the one-click-purchase. Of course, we still have a laundry-list of issues we have to solve around content discovery – finding the content and stuff we want to buy in the first place. But services like Amazon’s are well in line with what people expect – even demand – of their mobile experiences.

The critical importance of having a shortcut to payments is perhaps best put by Alex Robson from TeleBilling, who told delegates at World Telemedia Malta in April that making it hard for people to buy content is a recipe for failure. As he put it: “It’s simple: one click: buy, two clicks: bye-bye.”

Think that through.

And while you do, think back to my earlier post, where I underscored the importance of having a streamlined payment process. Apple gets it – in part because it relies on credit cards, bypassing mobile operators and SMS or WAP billing schemes – payment methods that are either clunky or require us to input loads of information with a small keypad. Nokia’s Ovi store has a way to go, as my own road test of the service demonstrates, but there are clear indications they are moving in the right direction.

Some could argue that it’s the choice of payment method that is the issue here. Sure, credit card payment has its share of benefits. (I’m thinking here of ubiquity, ease of use and the fact that – at about 4% – the charges are considerably less for content creators and app distributors than the 50% or more cut carriers take for operator billing.) At the end of the day, a lot speaks in favor of credit cards over operator billing and clumsy WAP schemes.

But I want to step back and focus on what really matters:

And if you doubt for a second that users will vote with their feet when stuff is tough, then consider the bane of online commerce: the abandoned shopping cart, the uncompleted transaction.

Studies estimate that up to 75% of all shopping carts are abandoned before the sale is closed.

Why? In many cases, it’s the checkout. Respondents complain the process is too long, requires too much information, or is downright confusing.

If people are giving up online where they have large screens, full keyboards and sit-back time, then imagine what how short the attention spans (and tempers) must be when people are tying to buy on the go.

In mobile, the question regarding whether its WAP billing, credit cards e-wallets, or operator-led initiatives like Payforit is immaterial. What matters is the quality of the user experience and the clicks it takes for people to buy what they want.

Several of our clients – including a European mobile operator in the middle of a mobile storefront revamp – have asked us to design interfaces that will make their choice of payment method easier for people to use. Based on this recent work I have put together the first in a series of Tego Interactive “cheat sheets” focused on the do’s and don’ts of integrating online and mobile business.

1. 1. Reach rules: Choose a payment method that fits your business objectives that is ubiquitous and relevant to your customer audience. As I pointed out, credit cards have their advantages, but teens don’t generally have one – and neither do consumers in emerging markets. Make your choice based on what your customers want and will appreciate.
2. 2. Combine and connect: Keep in mind what Amazon and other Web giants are doing and why. It’s all about understanding what people can do on their PCs and what they will be willing to do on their mobile phones, and then making sure the interfaces match the task. Don’t require them to input a lot on information on their mobile phones. And don’t deny them the opportunity to browse through cool stuff on their PC (perhaps complemented by big, bright images; rich media; and communities where they can rate, rank and discuss things related to the products/offers – the works)
3. 3. Experience first: Don’t get so caught up in the UI that you forget the user. In our business less is more. It’s easy to fall in love with super-cool ways of doing things but in most cases plain and practical beat out flashy hands-down. Simple and elegant – it’s the best solution, and often the hardest to build.

It’s all about having payment processes that are built on a deep understanding of the unique characteristics of online and mobile and our requirements for easy payments. Get the mix right, put the user at the center and you can bet it will encourage people to complete their transactions.

]]> http://www.mobilegroove.com/amazon-raises-the-stakes-making-mobile-shopping-less-hassle/feed/ 2 http://www.mobilegroove.com/data-points-numbers-on-the-u-s-mobile-industry-nokia-talks-ovi-store-print-publishers-look-to-mobile-smartphone-users-get-social-looking-at-mobile-app-loyalty/ http://www.mobilegroove.com/data-points-numbers-on-the-u-s-mobile-industry-nokia-talks-ovi-store-print-publishers-look-to-mobile-smartphone-users-get-social-looking-at-mobile-app-loyalty/#comments Fri, 09 Oct 2009 19:24:10 +0000 Carlo Longino http://www.mobilegroove.com/?p=3587 U.S. MOBILE DATA REVENUES ROSE 31 PERCENT in the first half of 2009 compared to the previous year, according to trade group CTIA’s latest semi-annual industry survey. Data accounted for more than a quarter of all wireless service revenues, ringing up $19.4 billion in the first six months of the year. CTIA also says that 740 billion text messages went across U.S. operators’ networks in the timeframe, double the number ]]> U.S. MOBILE DATA REVENUES ROSE 31 PERCENT in the first half of 2009 compared to the previous year, according to trade group CTIA’s latest semi-annual industry survey. Data accounted for more than a quarter of all wireless service revenues, ringing up $19.4 billion in the first six months of the year. CTIA also says that 740 billion text messages went across U.S. operators’ networks in the timeframe, double the number from 2008, and that there were 276 million mobile subscribers in the US at the end of June. Source

The bottom line: Mobile data revenues continue to grow, and are a bright spot for mobile operators among sinking voice spending. It’s also notable that given the U.S. recession, mobile data spending grew so strongly.

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NOKIA’S OVI STORE IS SEEING STRONG GROWTH, the company says, citing a 50 percent increase in downloads in August over July, with user registrations up 250 percent in the month. Nokia says it’s approving about 500 pieces of content per week for the store, including apps, games and content like ringtones. 27 operators in 8 countries currently support direct billing for the Ovi store, but Nokia says that the feature will be available in more than 20 countries by the end of Q1. Source

The bottom line: It’s nice to see the download figures rise, but without a breakdown of what kind of content users are grabbing – or how much they’re paying for it – it’s difficult to assess this market from an operator or content provider perspective. What are users downloading? And who’s making money in the Ovi Store?

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PRINT PUBLISHERS SEE MOBILE PLAYING AN INCREASINGLY IMPORTANT ROLE IN THEIR ONLINE PLANS, says a new survey from the Audit Bureau of Circulation, the group that audits U.S. publishers’ subscriber figures. A third of those surveyed see mobile having a significant impact on their revenues within three years, and 70 percent say they’re paying more attention to mobile this year than last. 33 percent think they’ve got a good plan in place for the mobile market as well.

Also, 17 percent of those surveyed said they already had a smartphone app for their publication, and a further 56 percent plan to develop one in the next 24 months. Source



The bottom line: Print publishers are struggling, and it certainly looks like they are approaching mobile with much more determination than they initially did the web. They’re looking for new sources of revenue, and have big hopes for new platforms. But mobile in and of itself is not a business model for them, they’ve still got to figure out how to create value and generate revenues from it.

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NEWS AND REFERENCE APPS GET THE MOST WEEKLY USE AND STAY ON IPHONE USERS’ DEVICES THE LONGEST, says a report from mobile apps analytics provider Flurry. The company looked at the weekly usage rates and retention rates for several different types of apps, in an attempt to assess the level of user loyalty. It explains that the news and reference apps feature the most regularly updated content, hence their high usage and continued attraction.



It also found that “entertainment” apps, which it also calls gimmick apps (think iFart, the Zippo lighter app), have the lowest retention rate, highlighting how users download them, use them a few times, then delete them. It also broke out a couple of other sectors of usage patterns: one including apps like e-books, which get used intensely over a short period of time, and another holding navigation and productivity apps, which don’t get used as often, but are retained on devices for a long time. Source

The bottom line: These are some interesting figures that deliver some insight into how users – subconsciously, perhaps – view and utilize apps.

—–

THE NUMBER OF U.S. SMARTPHONE USERS ON SOCIAL NETWORKING SITES HAS TRIPLED in the past year, says new research from Nielsen. The company says there were 18.3 million unique users of mobile social networking sites on smartphones in July, up from 6.4 million in 2008. Facebook was the most popular site, getting twice as many users as the nearest rival, MySpace. Source

The bottom line: This follows last week’s data points that told a similar story and predicted even more growth for mobile social networking in the coming years. The mobile is an inherently social device, so expect to see ever-higher numbers.

]]> http://www.mobilegroove.com/data-points-numbers-on-the-u-s-mobile-industry-nokia-talks-ovi-store-print-publishers-look-to-mobile-smartphone-users-get-social-looking-at-mobile-app-loyalty/feed/ 1 http://www.mobilegroove.com/making-media-pay-has-kooaba-cracked-the-code-plus-last-call-for-the-digital-100/ http://www.mobilegroove.com/making-media-pay-has-kooaba-cracked-the-code-plus-last-call-for-the-digital-100/#comments Wed, 26 Aug 2009 18:44:21 +0000 Peggy Anne Salz http://www.mobilegroove.com/?p=3042 In brief: The discussion of paid content comes to a head with Murdoch's decision to charge for content – no matter what. Is this prudent? What options are available to publishers? We take a look at some ideas and profile a path-breaking new concept from mobile visual search/recognition company Kooaba that may allow old media to leapfrog into new profits. Plus: an invitation to cool digital companies to contact me personally. Regular readers will know that I work with a variety of organizations and publications, evaluating companies and candidates for awards ranging from the Meffys (awarded by the Mobile Entertainment Forum to recognize excellence and innovation in mobile entertainment and services) to the Smaato Mobile Advertising Awards (recognizing the best in mobile Web and in-app advertising) to the EContent 100 (a list of the 100 companies that matter most in the digital content industry). I am proud that EContent named me to its panel of judges to evaluate the 100+ candidates across the categories: classification & taxonomy; collaboration; content commerce; content creation, production, & digital publishing; content delivery; content management; content security; fee-based info services; intranets & portals; mobile content; search engines & technologies; and social media. I'd like to take this opportunity to thank the many mobile and Internet companies that have contacted me to be considered for inclusion in the list, and issue a final call for candidates. Round 1 of the judging wraps up on September 1, so please reach out to me this week. (Please note that your contacting me does not compel me to put any company name on the final list of contenders and, of course, in no way guarantees that any company will be named to the list.) This year my participation in the judging team has not only introduced me to a number of new mobile industry innovators (companies you'll see profiled on MSearchGroove in the coming weeks). It has also exposed me to new thinking about digital content creation and distribution. The industry is at a critical crossroads. A milestone that speaks volumes: the storm brewing the media and digital industries after Rupert Murdoch’s very public announcement (after posting record losses of $203 million last quarter) that his News Corporation intends to charge for online newspaper content. WILL WE PAY FOR CONTENT? ]]> In brief: The discussion of paid content comes to a head with Murdoch’s decision to charge for content – no matter what. Is this prudent? What options are available to  publishers? We take a look at some ideas and profile a path-breaking new concept from mobile visual search/recognition company Kooaba that may allow old media to leapfrog into new profits. Plus: an invitation to cool digital companies to contact me personally.

Regular readers will know that I work with a variety of organizations and publications, evaluating companies and candidates for awards ranging from the Meffys (awarded by the Mobile Entertainment Forum to recognize excellence and innovation in mobile entertainment and services) to the Smaato Mobile Advertising Awards (recognizing the best in mobile Web and in-app advertising) to the EContent 100 (a list of the 100 companies that matter most in the digital content industry).

I am proud that EContent named me to its panel of judges to evaluate the 100+ candidates across the categories: classification & taxonomy; collaboration; content commerce; content creation, production, & digital publishing; content delivery; content management; content security; fee-based info services; intranets & portals; mobile content; search engines & technologies; and social media. I’d like to take this opportunity to thank the many mobile and Internet companies that have contacted me to be considered for inclusion in the list, and issue a final call for candidates.

Round 1 of the judging wraps up on September 1, so please reach out to me this week. (Please note that your contacting me does not compel me to put any company name on the final list of contenders and, of course, in no way guarantees that any company will be named to the list.)

This year my participation in the judging team has not only introduced me to a number of new mobile industry innovators (companies you’ll see profiled on MSearchGroove in the coming weeks). It has also exposed me to new thinking about digital content creation and distribution.

The industry is at a critical crossroads. A milestone that speaks volumes: the storm brewing the media and digital industries after Rupert Murdoch’s very public announcement (after posting record losses of $203 million last quarter) that his News Corporation intends to charge for online newspaper content.

WILL WE PAY FOR CONTENT?

Artesian Solutions, a company specialized Web-based market intelligence and surveillance software (automating the process of search through machine-based surveillance), has an interesting take. Artesian CEO Andrew Yates issued a statement today arguing that Murdoch’s brave strategy may just (literally) literally pay dividends.

As Andrew puts it: Murdoch’s play is “based around ‘quality’ and this is tough call for a commodity that people are not currently prepared to pay for…. However he argues that one positive consequence of charging for content is that through targeted information and the learned behaviors of the subscribers, newspapers will be able to build a 24 hour, 7 days a week relationship (rather than once in the morning) with the subscriber and therefore tailor content to the demands of those paying for the service. The subscriber will get what they want, when they want it on whatever device they chose. Surely, this will be good for the consumer.”

Intrigued by this view I caught up with Andrew to ask why he can be so sure that we – people that have grown up accustomed to free content, search and social networking services – will change our habits and pay for news, for example. A few minutes into the call we were passionately debating the pivotal importance of personalization, relevancy and context – and the value they bring to our content experiences across platforms and devices.

CONTEXT & RELEVANCE

Artesian, for example, has built a B2B business model on providing its clients content in tune with their profiles, preferences and strategic focus. Using a variety of tools and techniques (advanced algorithms, natural language search the order and frequency of keywords, for example) Artesian effectively filters out information that we don’t want and gives us what we do.

In this scenario, the value of content is its quality – which is a function of context and relevance. Put another way, customers pay for genuinely useful content and they pay a premium for the choice of having what they need where and when they need it. With this in mind, the next deliverable on the Artesian roadmap is a service that delivers a daily dose of information to customers on their portable devices (PDA, smartphone, iPhone etc…).

My take: Artesian is one of a new breed of cool companies that makes its money by making choices for us to provide us choice content we appreciate. By spidering the indexes relevant to our interests and objectives (and not attempting to index or deliver the entire Web), companies such as Artesian are defining paid-content models that hold a great deal of promise for publishers everywhere (particularly in mobile). I would certainly pay for a daily dose of exactly what I want (gleaned from the sources I know and trust, as well the social media spaces, such as Twitter) delivered to my BlackBerry. All the more valuable if the technology employs explicit and implicit personalization (as Artesian does). Will we, as my close colleague Alan Moore suggested, pay for quality content? I vote ‘yes.’ As they say in Cologne, where I am based: What costs nothing, is nothing.

KOOABA MAKES MEDIA INTERACTIVE

Another value to focus on (because it can pave the way to effective/engaing advertising and increased revenues for publishers) is interactivity.

The merging of the digital and physical worlds is a hot topic at MSearchGroove and a big part of the Netsize Guide 2010. (Netsize has commissioned me to write it for the third year running and we just kicked off this exciting project at a meeting at Netsize HQ in Paris last week). But it’s more than a good read; it’s a great business model for the companies that can bridge those worlds.

Kooaba, a visual search and image recognition company and I have had high on my radar from the start (and that goes back almost two years), has an approach that spells good news for old media (specifically, print) anxious to get more mileage out of their content assets.

It’s hot off the presses (no pun intended!) and I caught up with Herbert Bay, Kooaba CEO and founder, to get the inside track on this new Kooaba and where it’s heading.

By way of background, Kooaba, which offers the Kooaba App for the iPhone and other devices, is strong in image recognition. It’s one of a number of companies providing the technology that allows people to interact with content and advertising using their cameraphones, paving the way for the all-important transaction.

(Little wonder why Amazon acquired visual search company Snaptell last month and this month released Amazon App for Android, an app that includes the experimental Amazon Remembers feature. With it people have two ways they can use their device camera to find and remember items available for sale on Amazon.com: they can either snap a photo of an item or scan a barcode.)

Kooaba’s new-look website is chock-full with information about the Kooaba App and case studies from clients ranging from BMW and EMI to Heineken – all a testament to the power of this technology to enable advertising and encourage commerce.

But the real news for me is Interactive print, Kooaba’s solution that effectively gives old print media a new lease on life.



In practice, people capture the content with their cameraphones and Kooaba makes the connection between the printed content and the cool interactive stuff it links to (videos, interviews, and special offers/discounts – the works). Additional functionality in the back-end lets people search, archive and even share this content. Read a job offer in the classifieds, save it for yourself in your personal library or share it on Facebook. Read an interview, get one-click access to the video and then pass it around.



Will people pay for that interactivity? Perhaps… But it’s likely the real money will come from advertisers willing to pay a premium to deliver a more interactive advertising experience and – more importantly – measure the results. (Kooaba’s solution has analytics/tracking baked in.)
Herbert is bullish about the power shift that can happen when publishers are back in charge of their content and their advertising revenues (as opposed to aggregators and search engine companies.).

But I am even more excited about the potential for interactive learning. This technology can literally make books come alive! (A wonderful boost to the quality of education in the developing world.)

The bottom line: Relevancy rules! Whether it’s built into the algorithms that allow companies such as Artesian charge for relevant content or architected into Kooaba’s solution that makes print content contextually-aware (because it can morph to match the context of the people who activate it with their cameraphones), we want what we want and will gravitate to those companies that can give it to us.


]]> http://www.mobilegroove.com/making-media-pay-has-kooaba-cracked-the-code-plus-last-call-for-the-digital-100/feed/ 3 http://www.mobilegroove.com/inside-the-ecosystem-personalization-points-way-to-new-ad-supported-content-distribution-paradigm/ http://www.mobilegroove.com/inside-the-ecosystem-personalization-points-way-to-new-ad-supported-content-distribution-paradigm/#comments Mon, 24 Aug 2009 13:32:57 +0000 MSG Staff http://www.mobilegroove.com/?p=3029 In brief: In line with MSearchGroove's ongoing and in-depth look at smart toolbars, personalized portals and the players that set the bar for these technologies, regular columnist and contributor Jim Levey shows a robust economic system (and new content distribution model) is emerging with personalization at its core. It is no secret that the success of well-known Internet portals, whether they’re oriented towards mass media or are vertically driven, is content that is fresh and personalized. These portals have developed large online communities by empowering users with self-service tools that enable them to create their own personalized homepages chock full of content that is dynamic, up-to-date and consistently relevant to their preferences. This is achieved thanks to widgets that interoperate with specific applications such as search, weather, finance and social networks. Fast forward and it's the same model in mobile – although mobile markets in Europe and Asia have stolen the lead on North America (at least for now). Why are operators outside the U.S. so far ahead in the delivery of content experiences that users appreciate? In my view, mobile operators, particularly in Europe, have embraced path-breaking personalization solutions that implicitly push relevant content to subscribers based on their browsing behavior. But their business objectives don't stop at delivering a satisfactory mobile user experience (because it is personalized); they are further harnessing these solutions to deliver targeted advertising that potentially drives results. Put the two together, (personalized mobile experiences and advertising messages targeted to users based on their content consumption), and you have the capabilities mix to satisfy users and – at the same time – create a sizeable market conditioned to accept relevant advertising. (And isn't this exactly what brands have been waiting for?) ]]> In brief: In line with MSearchGroove’s ongoing and in-depth look at smart toolbars, personalized portals and the players that set the bar for these technologies, regular columnist and contributor Jim Levey shows a robust economic system (and new content distribution model) is emerging with personalization at its core.

It is no secret that the success of well-known Internet portals, whether they’re oriented towards mass media or are vertically driven, is content that is fresh and personalized.

These portals have developed large online communities by empowering users with self-service tools that enable them to create their own personalized homepages chock full of content that is dynamic, up-to-date and consistently relevant to their preferences.  This is achieved thanks to widgets that interoperate with specific applications such as search, weather, finance and social networks.

Fast forward and it’s the same model in mobile – although mobile markets in Europe and Asia have stolen the lead on North America (at least for now).

Why are operators outside the U.S. so far ahead in the delivery of content experiences that users appreciate? In my view, mobile operators, particularly in Europe, have embraced path-breaking personalization solutions that implicitly push relevant content to subscribers based on their browsing behavior. But their business objectives don’t stop at delivering a satisfactory mobile user experience (because it is personalized); they are further harnessing these solutions to deliver targeted advertising that potentially drives results.

Put the two together, (personalized mobile experiences and advertising messages targeted to users based on their content consumption), and you have the capabilities mix to satisfy users and – at the same time – create a sizeable market conditioned to accept relevant advertising. (And isn’t this exactly what brands have been waiting for?)

Put simply, by collecting and wielding terabytes of data, which reflect subscribers’ mobile Internet habits, operators can lay the groundwork for contextual ad serving.

The endgame is all about delivering users content they want and advertising they will appreciate. But these business benefits can come at a price. This mass customization requires network resources and bandwidth beyond what most operators anticipated or can afford. Clearly, users who can finally get the content they like are eager to explore the wealth of content and apps at their fingertips. This results in increased usage, challenging operators to think of new ways to generate new revenue streams (potentially to offset bandwidth costs or at least invest in network upgrades which will become a top priority if advertising on mobile becomes video-centric).

WHO FOOTS THE BILL?

Against this backdrop, the big question becomes: Who is going to pay for it all? Some mobile operators are betting on differentiated pricing and data plans (which require users the foot the bill) to solve this problem. However, this is hardly a long-term sustainable model in an age where free is the norm. Ad-supported content and business models are the way forward.

The real money is with the brands.  But, as we all know, brands are sitting on the sidelines waiting for the mobile industry to provide reach, standards, accountability and access to customer data. High marks to U.K. mobile operators who are trying to achieve this with the GSMA, but it’s a work in progress and it’s not clear if brands can wait.

So, why are operators slow to get onboard and get thinking about ad-funded models?

It’s clear: Operators are caught between a rock and a hard place. On one hand, they are sitting on stockpiles of data that can power personalization and ad serving engines.  On the other hand, while operators know brands would like to get their hands on this data, they also know their subscribers trust them to act responsibly with their personal information. Indeed, the blogosphere tells us some people are even spooked by personally relevant content and advertising. (Interestingly, many more reports show consumers see huge value in receiving content such as coupons and vouchers relevant to their location or intent to buy.)

Naturally, some mobile operators have responded to this with a wait-and-see strategy. Others, however, have turned a problem into an opportunity, using personalization solutions that anonymize customer data, to develop sharper segmentation and deliver mobile content experiences that set the bar.

These solutions make sense because they encourage subscribers to browse the mobile Internet freely, while at the same time anchoring them to their operator’s portal start page because the experience (in tune with their lifestyles) is so good. Beyond this, some personalization solutions harness widgets (in the form of a widget toolbar, for example) to enhance this experience by delivering fresh content to the handset and take the tedium out of navigating the mobile Internet.

MARKET PERSPECTIVE

What is the value proposition and how has the market reacted? I recently caught up with Joel Brand, Product Manager at Bytemobile — a provider of network-based service delivery platforms that enable the delivery of value-added servcies –  to get his perspective on this next mega-trend.

The way Joel sees it, mobile content personalization is “a subtle approach to marketing.” Subtle here means a trust-based give and take.

From the get-go this conversation – which we recall is based on a deep understanding of behavior and personal preferences/tastes — is a rewarding exchange that respects the individual and further rewards them with a fulfilling mobile experience that is perfectly in tune with their lifestyles.
As a result, the line between content and advertising blurs and the individual welcomes both because there is no noticeable difference. Both are relevant, useful and enriching. With this the groundwork is laid for an ongoing brand dialogue that can continue at other times and in other sessions. Quid pro quo.

What is the user experience when content and advertising combine? Joel offers this. “If a subscriber is browsing mobile travel sites [then] the system may push content from Expedia or Club Med.” Similarly, , if the user purchases South African jazz ringtones, the system can work with a third-party ad network to serve a marketing message about FreshlyGround, a hot band from South Africa. The possibilities are limitless because it’s tailored to each individual.

Put another way, the goal is to blend content with marketing messages in a non-intrusive fashion. The content is informative; the advertising is informative and the message is welcomed.  Advertising works best when it is subtle.

AMDOCS INTERACTIVE

Another significant player in the mobile Internet personalization space is Amdocs Interactive ChangingWorlds. The company’s solution, which is deployed in 56 top-tier mobile operators worldwide, harnesses advanced algorithms to analyze individual browsing behavior in real time and push relevant content into the portal.

I got together with Mike Lurye, Product Marketing Manager at Amdocs Interactive, to get his take on where this is going. As Mike puts it, it’s all about personalization, “but the value is in user choice.” The Amdocs approach lets users make the decisions, providing them the option to actively configure content requirements. But the system also makes decisions for the user, choosing which content to push dynamically based on the subscriber’s browsing behavior.

In practice, Amdocs Interactive features a smart icon-driven toolbar which supports more intuitive navigation and links to third-party content and services including social networks, ecommerce, search and news. All can be launched from the operator’s portal, but the experience doesn’t end there. The toolbar remains in the browser and travels with the user as they engage with these services.  As Mike puts it: “All this intelligence is logged, analyzed and optimized for a personal portal experience.”

With both Bytemobile and Amdocs Interactive, the marketing approach is subtle and the chances of success greater. This is because subscribers are in control and therefore comfortable about making personalization choices, either through configuring the widget toolbar that travels with them everywhere or by letting marketers/operators know what they like.

ROBUST ECOSYSTEM

Connect the dots, and the pieces are in place for a sustainable economic model that fosters the growth of the entire ecosystem. Why? Because aggregated and anonymous browsing behavior provides the data essential to the creation of well-defined profiles that, in turn, pave the way for brands to deliver subscribers an offer they literally can hardly refuse.

Marketers benefit because these personalization solutions provide the much-needed basis for an effective ad-supported content distribution model. The insights they provide into individual browsing behavior combined with other data points provide a consolidated view of the customer. And, as we know, delight the customer is the first rule of successful marketing.

Personalization pays for operators as well. In fact, Mike tells me one of his company’s operator customers saw as much as 20 percent uplift in revenues. It’s difficult to say whether the revenue boost was due to increased data usage, more premium content consumption, upgrades to richer subscription plans or more beneficial revenue share agreements with third-party ad networks – since the solution impacts each of these – but it’s clear that personalization had an impressive incremental effect. The same solution potentially improves mobile search, resulting in a more personal (hence useful) user experience.



And finally, it’s good news for the publishers as well – provided they forge relationships with the clever operators that have embraced these personalization solutions in the first place. By negotiating licensing and rev share agreements with these operators – ones that are willing to stream subscriber intelligence to the publisher ad servers – these publishers have the capabilities to extend the personalized marketing experience that subscribers have come to expect. No longer in the dark about their users profiles and preferences,  these publishers have the business and customer intelligence the need to serve relevant ads and sell premium inventory aimed at a high CPM audience.

THE BOTTOM LINE

While the mobile ecosystem seeks a silver bullet solution that will get brands to open their wallets and increase mobile advertising spend, some companies are growing the market by focusing on the user side of the equation. Companies like Amdocs Interactive and Bytemobile are sharply focused on the connection between personalized content, relevant marketing and personalized search. Together the companies count an installed base of more than 100 mobile operators worldwide. Do the math and those  implementations translate into tens of millions of subscribers who already enjoy a personalized portal with widgets that travel, and would likely be open to marketing messages that match their interests.

Personalized advertising is not science fiction.  It’s happening now because it must. The advent of 4G and LTE pushes operators to pursue new revenue streams to offset capital expenditures. Operators will therefore need to leverage subscriber intelligence, invest in personalization solutions and so take the lead in building an ad-supported content distribution model that works for everyone. This will surely spark interest among the marketers currently sitting on the sidelines and get the attention of the brands.

]]> http://www.mobilegroove.com/inside-the-ecosystem-personalization-points-way-to-new-ad-supported-content-distribution-paradigm/feed/ 0 http://www.mobilegroove.com/special-report-getting-personal-openwave-adds-mobile-analytics-are-gateway-providers-the-ones-to-watch-plus-new-reportproject-with-gigaom-pro/ http://www.mobilegroove.com/special-report-getting-personal-openwave-adds-mobile-analytics-are-gateway-providers-the-ones-to-watch-plus-new-reportproject-with-gigaom-pro/#comments Wed, 19 Aug 2009 20:00:55 +0000 Peggy Anne Salz http://www.mobilegroove.com/?p=3004 In brief: A sneak peek at my upcoming personalization report and a request for case studies. The second in the series on mobile personalization examines Openwave and features an exclusive Q&A with Mayur Pitamber, Openwave Product Management Strategist. We ask the question: Is Openwave gearing up for something big? It was great to have the last days off and even better to map out an exciting line-up of MSearchGroove projects for the next months. One that I am particularly honored to announce: my collaboration with GigaOM Pro, the new research arm of the highly-respected tech blog GigaOM. By way of background, GigaOM Pro has brought together an impressive roster of industry authorities and analysts (including my esteemed colleague Chetan Sharma) to "address the gap that exists in real-time expert industry analysis on emerging technology markets." The GigaOM Pro solution: Make timely, highly relevant analysis and insights accessible and practical. I'm on board to write an in-depth examination of personalization and recommendation technologies and business models, a natural next step given my long track record analyzing mobile search and my deep involvement in the recommender space. (This includes work with Strands, a major provider of recommender systems, on recommender industry events including RecSys 09 - October 22-25, NYC.) The report is an ambitious undertaking and I am naturally interested in connecting with personalization/recommendation companies –so please contact me directly if you wish to be considered for inclusion. peggy@msearchgroove.com Why the buzz about personalization? The advance of Internet-specific smartphones and the spread of app store schemes turns up the pressure mobile operators (and their content providers) to decipher data transactions (on and off the network), combine it with location and demographic data and use the results to create a 360-degree view of the individual. Where does this shift leave mobile operators?]]> In brief: A sneak peek at my upcoming personalization report and a request for case studies. The second in the series on mobile personalization examines Openwave and features an exclusive Q&A with Mayur Pitamber, Openwave Product Management Strategist. We ask the question: Is Openwave gearing up for something big?




It was great to have the last few days off and even better to map out an exciting line-up of MSearchGroove projects for the next few months. One that I am particularly honored to announce: my collaboration with GigaOM Pro, the new research arm of the highly respected tech blog GigaOM. By way of background, GigaOM Pro has brought together an impressive roster of industry authorities and analysts (including my esteemed colleague Chetan Sharma) to “address the gap that exists in real-time expert industry analysis on emerging technology markets.” The GigaOM Pro solution: Make timely, highly relevant analysis and insights accessible and practical.

I’m on board to write an in-depth examination of personalization and recommendation technologies and business models, a natural next step given my long track record analyzing mobile search and my deep involvement in the recommender space. (This includes work with Strands, a major provider of recommender systems, on recommender industry events including RecSys 09 – October 22-25, NYC.)

The report is an ambitious undertaking and I am naturally interested in connecting with personalization/recommendation companies –so please contact me directly if you wish to be considered for inclusion. peggy@msearchgroove.com

Why the buzz about personalization?

The advance of Internet-specific smartphones and the spread of app store schemes turns up the pressure on mobile operators (and their content providers) to decipher data transactions (on and off the network), combine it with location and demographic data and use the results to create a 360-degree view of the individual.

Where does this shift leave mobile operators?

They are hard pushed to turn analytics into competitive advantage. Sensing this business opportunity (that execs tell me they estimate hovers in the hundreds of millions of dollars), a slew of companies (such as Amdocs, Bytemobile, Novarra and Qualcomm) are among the first out the gates with revamped offers to arm operators for the ultimate battle with Web giants for the mobile customer. This special series profiles the players jockeying for position in the marketplace.

This week we look at Openwave, which has recently productized its existing analytics capabilities and business intelligence know-how, and packaged it up as Mobile Analytics.

The solution – designed to aggregate usage data and behavioral information across a variety of sources, including on-portal surfing and open Web browsing, to generate meaningful reports –dovetails with other Openwave offers (behavioral targeting, profiling, usage pattern analysis) to lay the groundwork for the delivery of relevant content and advertising.

I caught up with Mayur Pitamber, Openwave Product Management Strategist, to discuss the role of the mobile operator, debate the value of personalization and what we can expect next in the Openwave product roadmap.

AN EXCERPT OF OUR Q&A

Q: Let’s talk about the fit with mobile advertising. You have just launched the complement to your own mobile advertising solution, which is Mobile Analytics. What’s the level of interest in mobile advertising? I’m hearing some operators get it, but many more don’t…

A: There was some hype about it at first, but operators are starting to see the value of it now and they are also beginning to understand the real value of the data they have. The last months have been marked by a surge of activity and RFIs and RFPs specifically for mobile analytics solutions, which is new in this market. We didn’t see this last year.

A lot of what happened and the initial excitement around mobile advertising industry was quite premature. It’s not just about offering targeted advertising; it’s about offering relevant products and services based on the user’s behavior. The operators can use analytics to gain profiles of these users, the sites they frequent and what they do while online. It’s when this information can be aggregated and provided to media agencies and brands that it really becomes valuable.

It’s all about helping operators to provide the mobile audience metrics that the brands are looking for. Not necessarily going through the GSMA, because they have some of that [covered in their] initiative, but doing that directly. With the solution we’re offering the operators can provide those metrics directly to the brands, to the media agencies, to the publishers, and be a vital part of that mobile advertising ecosystem. And with our solution there’s no need for us to insert tracking or cookies or JavaScript, or anything like that. Every Web page goes through our gateway and we can basically track on that. So, that’s a key differentiator.

Q: There are, of course, other solutions in this space. A long list of gateway providers: Qualcomm, Amdocs, Ericsson, Nokia, Bytemobile, Novarra. And the space is getting crowded.

A: Obviously, there are competitors out there.  All gateway providers can provide parts of this sort of solution. However, I haven’t come across a solution [similar to ours] with this [breadth] out there in the market at this point in time. Being a gateway provider for the last 10 years, we’ve been providing this type of reporting to operators. But now we’ve added more features and made it more user-friendly. So, it’s a mature business intelligence product that we’re bringing to the market.

Q: In early August, Telstra announced it had implemented your Mobile Analytics solution. The press release says it’s all about providing Telstra a “dashboard view of intelligent analytics and rich reporting capabilities across its mobile device portfolio.” To start, how many of your operator customers have this solution or perhaps the analytics solutions that preceded this?

A: We have deployed previous versions of this analytic solution to some six tier-1 operators around the world.

Q: Let’s say I’m an operator and I don’t have a solution from Openwave, but I like the analytics.  Can I just have that, or is it a package deal?

A: Previously, the solution was just built around Openwave products. But obviously, we want a bigger market share, so we’ve designed the solution such that it will work with any other gateway, any other vendor of gateway products.

Q: You said before competing on analytics is the way for operators to be “a vital part of the ecosystem.” Can operators really play this central role?

A: That’s a really good question. I think it’s quite difficult to answer as well. The operators have traditionally been sluggish. Their bread and butter has been voice revenues and SMS revenues. To really get them incentivized to offer new services such as mobile advertising, you need a compelling business case. I’ve spoken to dozens of operators around the world. Some of them are in advanced stages of creating any-time mobile advertising organizations. Others have only one or two mobile advertising product managers. For these operators, the business case – for whatever reason – is just not compelling enough for the decision makers to say okay, let’s really invest in this.

Q: This jives with what people told me while I was conducting interviews for Mobile Advertising Research UK. As one executive at a mobile infrastructure company that counts over 300 network operator clients observed: Mobile advertising only becomes interesting for an operator when “the type of revenue they can envisage is around 2 percent of their overall revenue to 5 percent, and with an opportunity to grow to 10 percent of revenue. This is the revenue that will really make them sit up and make it work.” Another figure that stands out: GBP 28.6 million, which is what the IAB reckons was the mobile ad spend in 2008. What’s your take?

A: I can believe the ad spend for the U.K. I think the hold up is the thinking about the role of the mobile operator. We have to be clear about what they can do. In my view, the role of the mobile operator will be to provide incentives for people to use new services so that additional inventory and mediums become available to insert ads. And obviously, once those mediums become available, that becomes attractive to brands and advertisers. But, right now, it’s difficult for operators to manage their inventories. They have SMS inventory, MMS inventory, on-portal, off-portal. All of these are different systems and it’s difficult to provide brands and advertisers a consolidated view of what is available out there. So, it’s when there is a clear view of the different inventories out there and the tools to manage these inventories, and make these inventories available to third-parties such as the brands and media agencies, that I think mobile advertising will really take off.

Q: Are you convinced operators can start acting like media companies? Or are there going to be a lot of carriers that focus on access over audience?

A: The tier-1s I talk with have created organizations to manage mobile advertising. They’ve created sales forces to go out and sell inventory. So, they are already acting as media agencies and helping brands identify which inventory they want to use. But again, these are just the big tier-1 operators.

Q: Advertising is messaging – and loads of it. Or it could borrow from TV and be video-centric? We don’t know. In any case, we have more data usage – both from people surfing with their smartphones and brands that want to reach them. What is the potential impact on the network side of things? What are you seeing?

A: We’re seeing huge increase in data traffic volumes. A data tsunami is going to hit operators within the next 12-24 months. And some operators are quite oblivious to this. So, [with Mobile Analytics] we’re helping the operators to identify trends on the operational front as well. We’re saying ‘Hey, you need to do capacity planning and optimize your networks because this is going to be your traffic in 6 months or 12 months.’

Q: Let’s move to the report on North American mobile Internet trends you issued that may have got lost in the CTIA shuffle. It made some interesting points, and I understand you are about to release another one soon. What were some of the key observations and what were the surprises?

A: That report was basically based on data from one of our customers in North America. Many of the trends we saw confirmed what the market was thinking. For example, everyone is doing social networking on mobile. The top sites, as you could guess, were Facebook and MySpace.

In terms of search, we were able to also track some keywords. Something that was interesting: people – when they wanted to find Google — wouldn’t enter Google on their mobile phone and go to Google. They would actually enter ‘Google’ in a Yahoo search engine. This operator had Yahoo as a search partner. Anyway, that tells us that a lot of search use may be because of usability. It’s easier to type it [a destination] in a search box than to navigate to it on the Web.

Q: Finally – what about app stores? They’re hot. What is the value-add, if any, from analytics?

A: One of the operators we’re working with is in the process of opening an app store. They know that not all users are going to go through the apps. If you figure the iPhone app store has tens of thousands of apps and growing, users would lose patience sifting through all that. This operator wants to analytics specifically on this [operator] app store to identify the top ten apps. But it goes beyond this to include how many times have the apps been downloaded; who has consumed them; and whether the users have shared apps with other people. More importantly, the operator is providing this app store data to the application developers, so they also have insight into how their apps are being used and how many people have downloaded their apps. So, Mobile Analytics can be used to identify the audiences going to these app stores – and that can be used to build the business.



WHAT’S NEXT?

Generally speaking, the value of data is not in the data itself, but in the mashups we create when we combine it with other data stores. Put another way, the way to wring the value out of analytics is to combine it with location and demographics data, which is why Openwave is keen to feature both in its Mobile Analytics solution. Mayur tells me we can expect location in the next months. (Openwave is also gearing up to announce another customer win for its analytics offer in South East Asia.)

Likewise recommendation capabilities are moving up the list to take a center spot in Openwave strategy. As Mayur put it: The next version of Mobile Analytics will come with recommenders “bolted on.” No word yet on what the recommender will allow (delivery of content or advertising – or both?), how it will achieve this (based on item-to-item or user-to user – or both?), or how it will integrate with Openwave’s underlying Integra platform. But read between the lines, and the sharpened focus on recommendation is at least a welcome testament to the timing and importance of my upcoming GigaOM report on the same topic.

Openwave, unlike some of the gateway providers I’ve examined/profiled in this series, is also bullish about mobile search. The company demo points out that Mobile Analytics potentially improves mobile search, allowing operators to deliver relevant results individuals will find useful.

I am reminded at this juncture of a related post I wrote about the potential for operator-centric, operator-powered, operator-controlled mobile search. With the right tools and technology mobile operators can follow our virtual breadcrumb trail to optimize our mobile search (and advertising) experiences, using our actual usage patterns to give us the answers/results we will most likely appreciate.

My take: Personalization is a hot topic but personalized recommendation and search are even hotter. The space is crowding with gateway providers that are using their position in the network to give their operator customers insights into what people are doing on the network (on- and off-portal). The end-game is about helping operators make business decisions based on new subscriber behaviors and trends. Openwave is one of a number of companies in this space – but it has its eye on the prize: drilling down in the data to help operators manage bandwidth allocation, deliver targeted mobile advertising AND fine-tune recommendation and mobile search. What better way for operators to compete against Internet and search engine giants, and potentially win?

Next in the series: We discuss personalization with Novarra.

]]> http://www.mobilegroove.com/special-report-getting-personal-openwave-adds-mobile-analytics-are-gateway-providers-the-ones-to-watch-plus-new-reportproject-with-gigaom-pro/feed/ 3 http://www.mobilegroove.com/podcast-bytemobile-cmo-adrian-hall-operators-can-win-on-personalization-does-a-widget-bar-do-one-better-than-an-app-store/ http://www.mobilegroove.com/podcast-bytemobile-cmo-adrian-hall-operators-can-win-on-personalization-does-a-widget-bar-do-one-better-than-an-app-store/#comments Mon, 03 Aug 2009 20:24:01 +0000 Peggy Anne Salz http://www.mobilegroove.com/?p=2953 In brief: The first in a series of reports looking at heightened interest in personalization and the options available to mobile operators determined to do battle with Google, Apple & Co. We kick off with Bytemobile and an analysis of Widget Bar, an application designed to simplify the mobile browsing experience by providing useful, personally relevant information in real time to people via a personalized toolbar on the screen of any mobile device, thus putting a selection of services such as local news and weather, enhanced search, social networking, and other customized applications at the user's fingertips. Next in the series: A look at Novarra's Vision Platform and a walk through the Widget Gallery. Last week we outlined the opportunities and challenges created by the proliferation of app stores. The takeaway: app stores may have turned people on to applications and whet their appetite for new content types, but they also turn up the pressure on companies across the ecosystem (operators, OS providers and handset-makers-turned-content-providers) to make finding and buying applications/content a no-brainer. Indeed, personalization is the new business mantra, and it goes for content/apps as well as advertising. Guest columns from Barry Smyth, Chief Scientist of Changing Worlds, an Amdocs company and recognized pioneer in personalization technologies, and Jim Levey, a former Director of Product Marketing for Search and Digital Advertising at Amdocs who has joined MSG's roster of authors and influencers, will examine the models and mindsets required to turn personalization into competitive advantage. In the meantime, it's productive for us all to be on the same page, starting off with an understanding of the offers and an overview of the competitive landscape. This week the focus is Bytemobile, a company that sits between the operator and the individual, collecting the data (such as browsing behavior on- and off-portal) that - in theory - allows its operator customers to deliver individuals personalized content (and advertising) they are bound to appreciate. What are the practical benefits of personalization? Where does Widget Bar (software that enables operators to insert a personalized toolbar on the screen of any mobile device) fit in to the scheme of things? And what's in it for brands? I caught up with Adrian Hall, Bytemobile CMO, to get the inside track.]]> In brief: MSG launches Getting Personal, a special report series looking at heightened interest in personalization and the options available to mobile operators determined to do battle with Google, Apple & Co. We kick off with Bytemobile and an analysis of Widget Bar, an application designed to simplify the mobile browsing experience by providing useful, personally relevant information in real time to people via a personalized toolbar on the screen of any mobile device, thus putting a selection of services such as local news and weather, enhanced search, social networking and other customized applications at the user’s fingertips. Next in the series: A look at Novarra’s Vision Platform and a walk through the Widget Gallery.

Last week, we outlined the opportunities and challenges created by the proliferation of app stores. The takeaway: app stores may have turned people on to applications and whet their appetite for new content types, but they also turn up the pressure on companies across the ecosystem (operators, OS providers and handset-makers-turned-content-providers) to make finding and buying applications/content a no-brainer.

Indeed, personalization is the new business mantra, and it goes for content/apps as well as advertising. Guest columns from Barry Smyth, Chief Scientist of Changing Worlds, an Amdocs company and recognized pioneer in personalization technologies, and Jim Levey, a former Director of Product Marketing for Search and Digital Advertising at Amdocs who has joined MSG’s roster of authors and influencers, will examine the models and mindsets required to turn personalization into competitive advantage.

In the meantime, it’s productive for us all to be on the same page, starting off with an understanding of the offers and an overview of the competitive landscape.

This week the focus is Bytemobile, a company that sits between the operator and the individual, collecting the data (such as browsing behavior on- and off-portal) that – in theory – allows its operator customers to deliver individuals personalized content (and advertising) they are bound to appreciate.

What are the practical benefits of personalization? Where does Widget Bar (software that enables operators to insert a personalized toolbar on the screen of any mobile device) fit in to the scheme of things? And what’s in it for brands? I caught up with Adrian Hall, Bytemobile CMO, to get the inside track.

Listen to the podcast here. [15:30]

WHY PERSONALIZATION?: The advance of the iPhone has impacted the space on two levels: it has highlighted the continued need for content adaptation solutions (to display Flash properly, for example) and it has increased the desire of people to experience rich-media content across all devices (not just smartphones). “So, there’s still a very strong market for the content adaptation as a class of product, but clearly as devices increase in functionality and in capability, there’s a need still to influence the way the end user interacts with data, even on a device as sophisticated as the iPhone.” To allow operators to personalize data (and brand the overall value-added services experience) Bytemobile has introduced Widget Bar. (You can view the demo here.)

As Adrian puts it: The idea is to have a personalized toolbar on the screen of any mobile device (smartphone on down to mass market device), “which offers efficient user access to services like local news and weather, enhanced search, email and social networking.”


By way of background, the Widget Bar got a bit of a boost in July when Bytemobile launched a – well – starter pack for mobile operators that includes:

• The operator-configurable Inline Portal application that intelligently brings portal content to the top of every web page.
• The Search Bar application, that provides an always-present search query box (piggy-backing the search engine preferred by the mobile operator), thus facilitating content discovery and enhancing mobile browsing.
• The Share application that simplifies the sharing of mobile web content with other users directly or through popular social networking services such as Facebook and Twitter.
• The Notifications pop-up application that gives operators a way to inform subscribers of relevant updates such as promotions and operational messages on roaming and data limits.

Connect the dots, and for Bytemobile it’s all about enabling operators to own and brand the all-important interaction between people, their phones and their peers.

APP COMPARISON: “Widget Bar is basically a clientless application window, if you like, so it helps mobile users to gain access to useful applications and personalized content of their choice.  As I said, it does this using a consistent presentation format. So, what it basically offers is a series of ‘mini-apps,’ if you like, that sit across the top of the screen of your device.” What does the use case look like? Imagine people that get access (through the carrier data plan) to apps as part of a larger offer. “Hypothetically, $10 a month would get you access to the choice of 10 applications that you could populate across the top of your device….So, you can then choose little mini-apps that are basically zero-click apps of your choice that are somewhat personalized by the operator.” The result: a populated Widget Bar across the screen of any class of mobile phone that is “updated in real time, basically in the background whenever we happen to refresh a Web page that we’re searching on as part of a session on our mobile phone.”

OPERATOR PERSONALIZATION: It all starts with Bytemobile’s Unison platform, a mobile Internet platform that enables operators to deploy fully integrated, multi-service solutions from a single node in the core data path of the network. As Adrian puts it: “We actually sit in the data path and so we get access to see how users search the Web, what advertisements they click on, [and] their browsing behavior.” This insight allows Bytemobile to build up a real time user profile of that particular user.

DRIVERS: Adrian tells me the main reason operators are interested in (and currently trialling) Widget Bar is to fight back the competition coming from Web giants and handset makers. “Operators captured a lot of their data revenue through their portals.  Now, as the walls of the walled gardens break down and portal traffic and portal revenue is reducing, we’re all going to the open Internet.” As a result, carriers are looking for ways to capture “the mindshare of their consumers rather than the consumers going off to the app store and some of the other products from Google and Apple that immediately take the consumer away from the carrier, from the carrier’s brand and the carrier’s applications.”

MOBILE ADVERTISING: “The key to effective advertising and more effective click through rates clearly is the ability to analyze the browsing behavior of particular [individual] consumers.  Because we can analyse browsing behaviour in real time, it allows us to work with the carriers and their ad providers, be it the ad networks that they’ve chosen or in-house facilities that they’ve built, to much more effectively target ads to consumers.”

PROFILING: Bytemobile’s ability to personalize content goes back to the insights it gained offering products and solutions to monitor how people use services such as video in order to implement fair use policies. “Typically when we talk to carriers, they see that 2-3% of users are typically using 50-70% of bandwidth and clearly they’re not paying for that amount.” Sitting in that sweet spot between the carrier and the consumer (monitoring video use) has also allowed Bytemobile to focus on personalization. As Adrian puts it: “It’s personalisation that’s going to end up increasing either the click through of an advert…or staying with the carrier and the value-added services that particular carrier can offer versus just going straight out to a Google or an Apple [destination], and ultimately increasing the chances of making that carrier a dumb pipe.”

WHAT’S NEXT?: In a word, execution. It’s all about helping operators implement Bytemobile’s personalization solutions. Adrian tells me operator deals are in the pipeline, but no details yet. He also reports that large-scale user experience trials conducted in cooperation with operators show the vast majority of users accessed the Widget Bar application several times per week. (No numbers from Bytemobile, so it’s not possible to quantify this “vast majority.”)

Other observations from Adrian:

• Bytemobile users reported finding navigation tools such as the Search Bar application extremely useful
• The Inline Portal application effectively doubled users’ visits to the operators’ portals
• Instant user access to the latest portal services and content, the continuous presence of the operator’s brand on the web browser, and the accurate targeting of content delivered to users all resulted in increased click-through rates

My take: Hmmm – it wasn’t so long ago that mobile search was widely regarded as a silver-bullet solution that would allow content companies/developers to present their offers within an acceptable click-distance and clinch that all-important sale. However, the usability barriers outlined in this post from my last mobile search masterclass have shifted industry focus from mobile search to tools and technologies that allow content owners/developers to employ a more proactive approach. Against this backdrop, content discovery (and the solutions to present content/apps where users can see and buy them) is back in the spotlight, all the better if these solutions bubble up content/apps to the surface that are in tune with our individual preferences. (And it’s not just about content; personalization can also be harnessed to deliver people advertising that they are more likely to appreciate.) Bytemobile is one of a new breed of companies allowing operators to connect the dots in the clues people leave behind (browsing behavior, for example) to serve up content they are bound to like and – more importantly – brand it to reinforce their value-add. Will this allow operators to do battle with Google, Apple and all the other companies jumping on the content/app bandwagon? It’s too early to call that one – but solutions such as this certainly create a more level playing field and play up the importance of personalization data only the operators can access.

]]> http://www.mobilegroove.com/podcast-bytemobile-cmo-adrian-hall-operators-can-win-on-personalization-does-a-widget-bar-do-one-better-than-an-app-store/feed/ 2 http://www.mobilegroove.com/app-stores-open-for-business-do-they-boost-our-choices-or-try-our-patience/ http://www.mobilegroove.com/app-stores-open-for-business-do-they-boost-our-choices-or-try-our-patience/#comments Thu, 30 Jul 2009 10:48:27 +0000 Peggy Anne Salz http://www.mobilegroove.com/?p=2939 In brief: App stores are hot, but what are the challenges and where is the opportunity? This analysis draws from a variety of sources - including a recent Airwide Solutions survey, an exclusive interview with Vodafone UK's Jonathan Kelly, and a thought-provoking post from Alfred DeRose, Co-founder & Managing Director of Tego Interactive, a Web and mobile product and services company providing development and integrated solutions for the needs of major brands, content publishers and mobile network operators - to provide some practical answers. App store frenzy? That's what comes across when you connect the dots in the raft of recent announcements. Mobile operators ranging from U.S. mobile operator Verizon Wireless (which has borrowed a page from parent company Vodafone to launch a carrier-wide app store based on Java ME that can target more than one device) to China Mobile (which tells TelecomAsia.net that it's moving full-steam ahead on its Mobile Market app store where it plans to take 50 percent cut of app sales revenues) are jockeying for position and a piece of the action. Interestingly, much of the operator excitement centers on the new mobile advertising opportunity app stores represent. As Jonathan Kelly, who heads up Vodafone UK Marketing, recently told me in a briefing: "I see some quite interesting opportunities in apps and widgets. A likely scenario could involve a sponsored widget, where the brand actually works with us to create a widget or application that we then prominently place in our app store." Beyond that, Jonathan sees other opportunities around actually embedding advertising within a widget. "You could have some sort of utility widget that's providing weather, and there's no reason why certain relevant companies may not wish to have some advertising embedded within that." At the other end of the spectrum, Apple's App Store, RIM's BlackBerry App World and Android's Marketplace may have been the first to the party, but they have company. The recent JavaOne conference kicked off its annual convention by opening the doors of the Java App Store, a global marketplace for Java apps headed by Sun Microsystems. It comes on the heels of other app store news elsewhere in the industry including Nokia's launch of the Ovi app store, a storefront offering available in Australia, Singapore, Spain, Italy, Germany, Russia, Ireland and the U.K, offering 20,000 titles (a fraction of which are apps) to an estimated 50 million Nokia devices globally. ]]> In brief: App stores are hot, but what are the challenges and where is the opportunity? This analysis draws from a variety of sources – including a recent Airwide Solutions survey, an exclusive interview with Vodafone UK’s Jonathan Kelly, and a thought-provoking post from Alfred DeRose, Co-founder & Managing Director of Tego Interactive, a Web and mobile product and services company providing development and integrated solutions for the needs of major brands, content publishers and mobile network operators – to provide some practical answers.

App store frenzy? That’s what comes across when you connect the dots in the raft of recent announcements. Mobile operators ranging from U.S. mobile operator Verizon Wireless (which has borrowed a page from parent company Vodafone to launch a carrier-wide app store based on Java ME that can target more than one device) to China Mobile (which tells TelecomAsia.net that it’s moving full-steam ahead on its Mobile Market app store where it plans to take 50 percent cut of app sales revenues) are jockeying for position and a piece of the action.

Interestingly, much of the operator excitement centers on the new mobile advertising opportunity app stores represent. As Jonathan Kelly, who heads up Vodafone UK Marketing, recently told me in a briefing: “I see some quite interesting opportunities in apps and widgets. A likely scenario could involve a sponsored widget, where the brand actually works with us to create a widget or application that we then prominently place in our app store.”

Beyond that, Jonathan sees other opportunities around actually embedding advertising within a widget. “You could have some sort of utility widget that’s providing weather, and there’s no reason why certain relevant companies may not wish to have some advertising embedded within that.”

At the other end of the spectrum, Apple’s App Store, RIM’s BlackBerry App World and Android’s Marketplace may have been the first to the party, but they have company. The recent JavaOne conference kicked off its annual convention by opening the doors of the Java App Store, a global marketplace for Java apps headed by Sun Microsystems. It comes on the heels of other app store news elsewhere in the industry including Nokia’s launch of the Ovi app store, a storefront offering available in Australia, Singapore, Spain, Italy, Germany, Russia, Ireland and the U.K, offering 20,000 titles (a fraction of which are apps) to an estimated 50 million Nokia devices globally.

Not to be outdone, Sony Ericsson takes the wraps off its new PlayNow Arena, the only player that opts to outsource much of the work to GetJar. The Lithuania-based company is billed as the world’s largest independent app store, with over 450 million mobile application downloads to date in more than 200 countries, will take on the mammoth task of managing and stocking the app store’s virtual shelves. The takeaway: make way for more companies and models.

An interesting newcomer that merits a closer look is WeFi.

This community-based WiFi network provider that has a new twist on the app storefront strategy that covers the bases to place it (and companies like it) firmly in the emerging app store ecosystem. Its blog outlines the quiet but clever launch of a combination “Wi-Fi powered launch-pad” and applications portal called WeFiApps, an app store offering a range of apps (communication services, entertainment, and information) in partnership with companies/providers including Fring, joiku, Nimbuzz, IM+ from Shape Services, VuFone from NewAct and Hollywood Star from HOVR. These apps (a combination of free and paid) are currently accessible on any WiFi-enabled Symbian S60 mobile phone.

CHALLENGES & OPPORTUNITIES

Is the flurry of excitement and activity around app stores a sign that we are entering into a new era of innovation and market opportunity?

Or should we worry that it’s the walled garden scenario all over again? This well-written opinion piece from Knowledge @ Wharton suggests the tight integration between mobile networks, device manufacturers and operating systems vendors limits our choices. It asks us to think through a case in which the new Palm Pre has a must-have app. In this scenario iPhone users in the U.S. who want it would have to switch devices (from iPhone to Pre) and mobile operators (from AT&T, Apple’s only provider to Palm’s partner Sprint).

The role of the operator amid this fragmentation and confusion remains unclear. However, it is clear that the majority of mobile operators want to stake their turf in this new services creation environment, a position they will cement by offering an app store-like offering or simply by opening up their APIs to enrich or enhance services offered by third-party developers.

How big could the market be? The jury is out on that one, but a recent survey from Airwide Solutions, a provider of mobile messaging and wireless Internet infrastructure, applications and solutions, found mobile operators expect significant growth in apps downloads within the next two years. The methodology was a bit fuzzy and percentages were diverse, but on average, operators said they expected 18.3 percent of the customers to be downloading apps within an average timeframe of 2.9 years. Overall some 43 percent of operators expect 20 percent of their customer base to download apps by 2011.

USER EXPERIENCE & SERIOUS SHORTCOMINGS

App stores schemes from handset manufacturers and mobile operators alike increase our demand for centralized solutions, one-stop-shops where we can find and buy the apps we want.

But how do these virtual shops really stack up? Alfred DeRose, Co-founder & Managing Director of Tego Interactive, a Web and mobile product and services company providing development and integrated solutions for the needs of major brands, content publishers and mobile network operators, recently conducted an informal road test of Ovi and documented his experience in his blog.

The process users follow to purchase an app from Ovi (excerpted from Alfred’s blog):

1. Select the item you want to purchase.
2. Select Buy .
3. Enter your Nokia account user name and password. If you do not have an account, select Create a Nokia account, and enter the required information.
4. Select to pay using your credit card or through your phone bill. If you already have your credit card information stored in your Nokia account, and you want to use another credit card, select Edit payment settings, and enter the required information. To save your credit card information to your Nokia account, select the Save this card to my Nokia account check box.
5. Select the e-mail address to which you want to receive a receipt of your purchase.
6. Select Purchase

While Nokia made a wise choice not to duplicate the one-click payment model from Apple that has effectively disintermediated operators from the app value chain, the process is tedious and complicated, hardly the user experience that encourages the all-important impulse buy. As Alfred puts it: “The best content will sit on the virtual shelves unless the buying process is clean and simple.”

Another prerequisite he highlights is the critical need for quality content discovery tools.

With an abundance of mobile apps at their finger tips, people certainly can’t claim they offer a lack of choice. But they can complain about the tedious navigation process and confusing hierarchical menus they must endure to find and buy content they like. If operators, providers, developers and handset makers want to sell more mobile content, then they are going to have to harness technologies and techniques to help users discover the content they want.

Put another way, it’s Retail 101 all over again, and the advance of app store schemes turns up the pressure on the emerging business ecosystem to remove the pain from the content discovery process and provide users with what they want – and perhaps even before those users know they need it in the first place.

The takeaway: Amid the activity and excitement that marks the emergence of a plethora of app store offers and schemes, many companies have lost the plot. It’s not about how many there are or who operates them. It’s about making finding and buying apps a no-brainer. The players in a position to give people the apps they want (allowing developers to rise above the noise and make money in the process) will be among the leaders not the also-rans.

(NOTE: I am proud to announce that Alfred DeRose has joined our roster of authors and influencers contributing news, analysis and thought leadership to MSG. He will focus on issues and solutions related to design, usability, mobile advertising and content discovery. You can reach him at alfred.derose@tegointeractive.com .)

Disclaimer: Tego Interactive is an MSG supporter.

]]> http://www.mobilegroove.com/app-stores-open-for-business-do-they-boost-our-choices-or-try-our-patience/feed/ 1 http://www.mobilegroove.com/mobile-search-is-still-broken-why-verticals-social-search-make-more-sense/ http://www.mobilegroove.com/mobile-search-is-still-broken-why-verticals-social-search-make-more-sense/#comments Tue, 28 Jul 2009 19:23:49 +0000 Peggy Anne Salz http://www.mobilegroove.com/?p=2925 In brief: An analysis on mobile search strengths and shortcomings based on some eye-opening usage stats presented at the recent Mobile Search Masterclass; a summary of key findings from MSG's own mobile voice search white paper (examining how Google stacks up against ChaCha and Vlingo using Yahoo as the default search engine); and the business case for a new breed of mobile search tools (ranging from social search to SMS search to content verticals) PLUS news you may have missed from Alabot, an Indian company specialized in natural language and artificial intelligent applications which enable interactive, multi-lingual mobile search. No matter how you look at it (and who you ask) mobile search, the model that has effectively retrofitted Internet search for mobile devices, is riddled with shortcomings This was the message that came across in the interviews I conducted for Mobile Advertising Research UK, the presentations I and other search authorities made during the recent Mobile Search Masterclass in London, and, more recently, in the mobile search assessment white paper (Pump Up The Volume: An Assessment of Voice-Enabled Web Search on the iPhone) I co-authored with Peggy Albright. (DOWNLOAD) Is mobile search broken? More importantly, how can we fix it? These are the questions I put to a variety of executives representing companies from across the mobile search and advertising business ecosystem. Read between the lines, and their answers - along with my own conclusions - point to areas of improvement and opportunity in mobile search. MOBILE ADVERTISING RESEARCH UK Primary research and C-Level interviews with agencies, brands, operators and third-parties reveal mobile search is missing the mark. Their gripe: the poor quality of mobile search (specifically universal search powered by keyword queries and PageRank algorithms) is to blame for a lack of interest and investment in paid search advertising. As a leading executive at a global brand put it: "Just between the two of us, our spend for search is by far not in the digits yet - and it won't be....We do a lot in mobile, but the basics of search are not yet at the level of sophistication consumers would expect from us." At the other end of the spectrum, agencies are far from upbeat about the short-term outlook for mobile search. As one managing director at a mobile marketing agency put it: "Just the way the content is indexed prevents advertisers from creating a cohesive plan to integrate search in their [mobile] advertising strategies. There is just not the volume to get in and really do some targeted search [advertising], and that's what brands want: to make advertising personal and relevant to every search the consumer makes."]]> In brief: An analysis on mobile search strengths and shortcomings based on some eye-opening usage stats presented at the recent Mobile Search Masterclass; a summary of key findings from MSG’s own mobile voice search white paper (examining how Google stacks up against ChaCha and Vlingo using Yahoo as the default search engine); and the business case for a new breed of mobile search tools (ranging from social search to SMS search to content verticals) PLUS news you may have missed from Alabot, an Indian company specialized in natural language and artificial intelligent applications which enable interactive, multi-lingual mobile search.

No matter how you look at it (or who you ask) mobile search, the model that has effectively retrofitted Internet search for mobile devices, is riddled with shortcomings This was the message that came across in the interviews I conducted for Mobile Advertising Research UK, the presentations I and other search authorities made during the recent Mobile Search Masterclass in London, and, more recently, in the mobile search assessment white paper (Pump Up The Volume: An Assessment of Voice-Enabled Web Search on the iPhone) I co-authored with Peggy Albright. (DOWNLOAD)

Is mobile search broken? More importantly, how can we fix it? These are the questions I put to a variety of executives representing companies from across the mobile search and advertising business ecosystem. Read between the lines, and their answers – along with my own conclusions – point to areas of improvement and opportunity in mobile search.

MOBILE ADVERTISING RESEARCH UK

Primary research and C-Level interviews with agencies, brands, operators and third parties reveal mobile search is missing the mark. Their gripe: the poor quality of mobile search (specifically universal search powered by keyword queries and PageRank algorithms) is to blame for a lack of interest and investment in paid search advertising.

As a leading executive at a global brand put it: “Just between the two of us, our spend for search is by far not in the [single] digits yet – and it won’t be….We do a lot in mobile, but the basics of search are not yet at the level of sophistication consumers would expect from us.”

At the other end of the spectrum, agencies are far from upbeat about the short-term outlook for mobile search. As one managing director at a mobile marketing agency put it: “Just the way the content is indexed prevents advertisers from creating a cohesive plan to integrate search in their [mobile] advertising strategies. There is just not the volume to get in and really do some targeted search [advertising], and that’s what brands want: to make advertising personal and relevant to every search the consumer makes.”

Against this backdrop, many sources questioned whether the U.K. adspend figures for 2008 released by the Internet Advertising Bureau (IAB) – the trade body for digital marketing – and PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC) didn’t overplay the importance of paid search advertising.

The study – a U.K. first – shows that mobile adspend bucked all market trends, increasing by 99.2 percent year on year to reach GBP28.6 million. Mobile display advertising – which includes banners, text links, tenancies pre/post roll and in-game – accounted for GBP14.2 million in 2008, 49.8 percent of all mobile advertising spend, while paid-for search advertising was estimated to account for GBP14.4 million, 50.2 percent of all mobile advertising spend.

As Harry Dewhirst, Co-Founder & Operations Director of RingRing Media Ltd., an independent media agency in the U.K., pointed out during the conference Mobile Advertising Research UK and again in a private briefing with MSG: the amount spent on paid search (from his vantage point) is considerably less than display. The reason: mobile search is “not up to scratch” and fails to deliver people “information in a digestible format as quickly and as conveniently as they need it.” (During the conference Harry raised eyebrows when he identified mobile search as a chief obstacle to mobile advertising – period.)

Harry further tells me the poor mobile search experience means fewer people use search, and that has resulted in a “lack of depth” in search terms. While the terms “plumber” and “London” might draw crowds of online searchers, they can’t pack them in on mobile – yet. “And until they do, search queries will continue to be focused on branded terms like ‘Facebook’ and ‘MySpace,’ and used as navigation.” Despite these issues, Harry reports conversion rates for search are higher than display. “This indicates a positive future for mobile search advertising, but the repeat usage and quality of results isn’t good enough yet.” (Ironically, this sentiment is echoed and documented in the summary analysis of the Masterclass below.)

But there are some bright spots. Harry, who knows mobile search inside out from his previous experience at Medio Systems, a mobile search provider, gives high marks to Taptu, a socially-assisted service that tackles issues such as poor quality results and even worse rendering by summarizing the content/search results in a page that allows people to pre-screen the results before clicking. He is also upbeat about other vertical solutions such as directory assistance search services that are designed from the ground up to give searchers what they need on the move.

MOBILE SEARCH MASTERCLASS

A summer highlight for me has been participating for the second successive year in the mobile search masterclass, a course delivered as part of The City University London’s Masterclass series. Once again I joined an impressive roster of industry authorities from companies, and once again Colin Bates, CTO of Mobile Commerce Ltd., presented some amazing insights into mobile search usage, trends and behavior.

It’s worth sitting up to take notice because Mobile Commerce, like an honest broker sitting between all the major U.K. mobile operators and all the mobile search engines, effectively powers customers’ search boxes. In a nutshell, Mobile Commerce takes the search terms people type into operator portal search boxes and federates them out to a variety of information retrieval sources to deliver a results set made up of  regular Internet search results (Google, Yahoo Microsoft), specialist mobile search results (local search and a variety of verticals), and paid search advertising linked to keywords. Mobile Commerce also offers an increasing number of content owners/publishers a similar service through its Monetised Mobile Search solution, a plug-in service that allows client companies to put a search box on their mobile site and generate revenues from paid search advertising.

As a result, Mobile Commerce has an invaluable insider’s view into what people search for and the results they receive. The bottom line: Nearly 12 months on from Colin’s last presentation and mobile search is still (!) broken.

VOLUME

The surprise: mobile search volume has doubled and in some cases tripled. However, part of the reason for this meteoric rise could be Mobile Commerce’s own success in signing up customers (such as major U.K. newspapers and Virgin Media). Colin put it down to growth in mobile publishing and the number of publishers that placed a search box on their pages. [Hmm - will more publishers take charge of content (and advertising) by controlling the search box?] And let’s not forget the impact of the iPhone and other cool handsets that make the Internet fun to surf on our phones.

What are people searching for? The stellar growth Colin sees – partly because Mobile Commerce powers mobile search for The Sun – is in a category he calls “Glamor,” a term that comprises all the hot half-nude models (Page 3 girls) featured on the newspaper’s third page.



More people are using mobile search. Are they getting what the want?

In a word, no.

Colin’s road test of mobile search services offered by Google and Yahoo (similar to last year) makes it clear mobile search has a way to go. While the search engines excel in Internet search on a mobile phone, their mobile-specific results are – well – “rubbish.” A search for directory assistance delivers a link to the media relations department for World Aids Day, and a simple search for nearby post offices delivers a list of locations no longer in operation. As Colin put it: “The tools (such as Google Maps) are great, the data is out of date.”

Why are mobile search results served up by Internet search engines so poor?

1)    Mobile robots can’t spider the “mobile Web.” There is no sure-fire way to identify a site by URL (for a while .mobi or m.sitename. was a help). The advance of the iPhone and multi-mode sites that adapt content and change markup to match the incoming device type also muddy the waters.

2)    Indexing mobile pages – where information is dynamic, spread across multiple pages and impacted by user input and user-generated content – is a nightmare to index.

3)    The existence of data silos (such as downloadable content) and the lack of cross-linking data make it difficult to rank results and power PageRank algorithms.

4)    People have little say in their search results. On the Internet what we click on (or don’t) is important feedback (an indication of what we find relevant) that fine-tunes rankings and results. We do this on mobile too, but relevant results are often too many clicks away to be seen, used or appreciated.

PERSPECTIVES

Despite the many shortcoming of mobile search, people are using it more than ever before.

What are the drivers?

For one, supply. More players offer mobile search this year than last.

All the U.K. operators offer mobile search on their portals and an increasing number of publishers have also implemented Mobile Commerce solutions.

(In fact, this flurry of activity prompted Mobile Commerce to launch its Monetised Search service in the U.S., where U.K.-based search engine Taptu has signed up as the first client. Bob Last, SVP of Business Development at Taptu, said in a statement: “Working closely with Mobile Commerce since last year, Mobile Commerce significantly improves the availability of relevant ads for our users. The U.S. is our busiest market for mobile searches at Taptu and we are very pleased to be extending our involvement with Mobile Commerce to monetise more of this U.S. search traffic.”)

Demand is also a factor.

People are using mobile search – but it’s not the way they use it on the PC. It’s more about snacking, snippets and quick answers than research and information retrieval. This is what Mobile Commerce concludes (and proves) after a thorough analysis of search terms, search results and what people clicked. Because it powers the complete process it can make the connection between what people query and what they consider a valuable (accurate) result.

The company has developed a system of some 20 categories, ranging from Single User Search (which comprises all the Long Tail terms that literally only came up once in 12 months) to Social Networking (which accounted for a 16 percent of searches over the last year).



Connect the dots, as Colin did, and specific categories (such as Social Networking) are about navigation. In other words, people are typing them in order to find the mobile site. This is further supported by the dramatic dip in searches for Facebook plummet right around the time the social network launched a proper mobile property.

REVENUE

Mobile search may broken but paid search advertising – at least for a few categories – is paying dividends. Specifically, the categories Adult, Games and Personalization (downloadable mobile content) received the largest ratio of clicks against paid search adverts in the results set.



Read between the lines, and we have a confirmation of the pivotal role of paid search advertising in content discovery (a trend I have tracked and documented in articles such as this one for New Media Age – subscription  required).

Why should mobile content companies harness paid search ads to promote their content? Because it works. As Colin put it: “The mobile search model is broken, and publishers have very little control over how their sites appear in the results set – if at all.” In practice, using advertising – specifically text and banner ads – enables content discovery and drives results. It’s also cheap discovery since (at least in the U.K.) CTRs for display ads have tumbled from GBP 15 per CPM to “around GBP 5.”

The avalanche of mobile content – and now mobile apps – turns up the pressure on publishers and developers to rise above the noise and make their stuff findable and buyable. Until companies fix the bugs in mobile search, display and banner ads remain the only sure-fire way to get the message out.

BETTER MOBILE SEARCH

But publishers and brands don’t have to limit their focus to the usual suspects (Google, Yahoo, Microsoft). The real excitement is in search tools and technologies that make the most of mobile and even harness other people to improve the overall experience.

An example Colin offered is Shazam, which he described as “mobile content search without the box.” The phenomenally popular mobile music discovery provider grew from 20 million users (in September 2008) to 35 million worldwide (in February 2009), with over a million tracks now being tagged every day across the world. (Release) It has deployed by 75 carriers across 60 countries, and is a popular application in the Apple App Store, the Android Market and the BlackBerry App World.

In Colin’s view, “mobile-specific search tools” that enable made-for-mobile search (as opposed to universal Internet search) are bound to improve mobile search and make money for the companies that develop them.

In my own Masterclass presentation (and ongoing mobile search research) I have taken it a step further, identifying 10+ categories of mobile search and assembling a list of super-cool companies harnessing context, location and the wisdom of crowds to improve the precision of search results and the quality of our mobile search experiences.

A welcome addition to the list is Alabot, a mobile search provider based out of Pune, India, with offices in Kuala Lumpur and London. I first met Akshat Shrivastava, Alabot founder, at a mobile search conference, where I had the pleasure of presenting him with the Bronze in the category Best Technology Innovation – Software. Earlier this week Akshat sent me a DM via Twitter (@peggyanne) with the great news: Alabot has secured funding from a global innovation fund and sealed a deal with a Malaysian mobile operator to develop a multi-lingual (English, Bahasa, Chinese, Tamil) mobile content vertical search service.

The text search service will start off serving up ringtones and wallpapers from the operator’s online content stock, or “low hanging fruit” Akshat tells me is just the beginning. As he put it: “Content services that require a syntax or Internet access aren’t getting traction [in that region] because they are not intuitive or interactive.” Moving forward, Akshat tells me plans are to extend the service to other content verticals and expand reach via deals with several OEMs. Rock On!

SEARCH AS CONVERSATION

Strong demand for more interactive (translated: natural language search services) isn’t limited to emerging markets.

In North America, ChaCha, a people-powered search service that uses specially trained individuals ChaCha calls “guides,” has answered more than 150 million questions via mobile phones and the Internet, making it one of the leaders in SMS search.

Intrigued by the power and potential of voice search on the iconic iPhone, Peggy Albright and I recently completed Pump Up The Volume: An Assessment of Voice-Enabled Web Search on the iPhone, a performance analysis of voice-enabled mobile search services offered by Google, ChaCha and Vlingo (a spoken interface to the Yahoo search engine). Download the free white paper here.

A chief finding: ChaCha “proved superior” to the two other voice-enabled search options for the iPhone. Specifically, ChaCha proved to offer exceptional results, with its human guides interpreting the search query accurately in the majority of cases.

To be clear, the study was not a road test of speech recognition technologies. To evaluate the overall performance of voice-enabled mobile services offered by ChaCha, Google and Vlingo for iPhone with Yahoo!, the researchers asked a series of 18 queries representative of six typical mobile search categories (Navigational, Directions, Information Local, Information General, Social, and Long-Tail). For each query the researchers evaluated nine performance characteristics including response time, results accuracy, voice recognition accuracy, number of results received, keytaps required, relevancy of the result, location awareness, use of advertising, and presence of other value-added features.

According to the study, ChaCha interpreted natural language search queries, that is, queries asked as questions, accurately in 94.4 percent of the tests and delivered an accurate search result in 88.9 percent of cases. The Google voice recognition technology interpreted queries accurately in 16.7 percent of tests and delivered accurate search results in 22.2 percent of tests. The Vlingo for iPhone voice recognition technology correctly interpreted queries in 72.2 percent of cases and delivered accurate results (via Yahoo!) in 27.8 percent of tests.

A clear finding that emerged is the importance of people-power. As Peggy Albright pointed out: “The use of human agents [by ChaCha] to help interpret spoken queries and conduct searches makes a positive difference in the quality of results delivered when compared to traditional search engines that use algorithmic software to find requested documents or information on the basis of keyword matches.”

In the report I also identified a key advantage ChaCha has over its competitors: Its keen focus on social search, an approach that effectively infuses human preferences and human judgments into computer algorithms to pinpoint truly relevant information and potentially better answers.

Beyond tipping the scales back in favor of results that are relevant rather than search- engine optimized, social search also lays the groundwork for a conversation with people on their terms, paving the way for the delivery of mobile advertising that is relevant and more likely to be appreciated.

MY TAKE:

Universal mobile search has significant shortcomings, weaknesses that brands and agencies tell me has convinced them to put paid search on the back burner. (There are exceptions: Colin from Mobile Commerce reminds us that for some segments – specifically mobile content – paid search is a potent means to encourage content discovery.) We have a choice: we can wait for providers to improve universal mobile search, or we can harness tools and technologies to deliver a better experience NOW. An obvious and excellent alternative is social search, often called “people-powered search” because it harnesses people to deliver results tailored to searchers on the basis of who they are and what they like. The interviews and insights collected in this analysis outline where mobile search misses the mark and reveal a huge opportunity for companies (such as ChaCha) that give a personal touch to search results (a perfect fit with the mobile phone, which we’ve already established is an intensely personal device).

It’s still in the early days, but the place and the power of people in mobile search is clear. As the worlds of mobile search and mobile social networking collide, they produce opportunities for companies to tap the community – both implicitly and explicitly – for much better quality results and the delivery of much more relevant advertising.

Disclaimer: The complete report is available for free download from MSearchGroove. This white paper is published by MSearchGroove. It contains the findings of independent research and analysis carried out by Peggy Albright, Albright Communications, and Peggy Anne Salz, MSearchGroove in January 2009. The research methodology was developed by Peggy Albright. The research was sponsored by ChaCha. The opinions expressed in this white paper are those of Peggy Albright and Peggy Anne Salz, and do not reflect the opinions of the organizations referenced in this paper.

Related reading:

Context, Social Media, And Cool Interfaces Rock Mobile Search; MSG Teams Up With mTrends To Map Out The Brave New Landscape

Mobile Search Masterclass: How Google & Yahoo Really Measure Up; Is Paid Search The Path To Discovery?

Mobile Social Search Makes Its Mark; Will Group Searching, Sharing & Collaboration Take Social Networking To The Next Level?

EXCLUSIVE & EXPLOSIVE: New People-Powered Mobile Search & Advertising Solution Puts Mobile Operators Back In The Driver’s Seat; Will Search Giants Have To Watch Their Backs?

Will Tapping The Wisdom Of Crowds Outsmart Mobile Search Giants?

]]> http://www.mobilegroove.com/mobile-search-is-still-broken-why-verticals-social-search-make-more-sense/feed/ 9 http://www.mobilegroove.com/not-the-usual-suspects-new-msearchgroove-report-reveals-chacha-outperforms-mobile-voice-search-from-google-chacha-vlingo-using-yahoo/ http://www.mobilegroove.com/not-the-usual-suspects-new-msearchgroove-report-reveals-chacha-outperforms-mobile-voice-search-from-google-chacha-vlingo-using-yahoo/#comments Thu, 16 Jul 2009 17:49:52 +0000 Peggy Anne Salz http://www.mobilegroove.com/?p=2872 Pump Up The Volume: An Assessment of Voice-Enabled Web Search on the iPhone, MSearchGroove's new-release white paper assessing the performance of voice search on an iPhone offered by ChaCha, Google and Vlingo (using Yahoo!), which you can download here. The report is especially timely, coming on the heels of today's announcement by Google that it has fine-tuned the mobile app versions of its Google Voice service for Blackberry and Android. (More on the user experience via this detailed post at GigaOm.) The top-level findings: ChaCha, a fast-growing SMS mobile search service available in the U.S. in the industry, "proved superior" to two other voice-enabled search options for the iPhone: the Google Mobile App with Voice and Vlingo for iPhone, a voice enabled application that allows users to direct their spoken queries to Google or Yahoo! (For the purposes of this study Vlingo provided a spoken interface to the Yahoo! search engine.) ChaCha proved to offer exceptional results, with its human guides interpreting the search query accurately in the majority of cases. According to the study, ChaCha interpreted natural language search queries, that is, queries asked as questions, accurately in 94.4 percent of the tests and delivered an accurate search result in 88.9 percent of cases. The Google voice recognition technology interpreted queries accurately in 16.7 percent of tests and delivered accurate search results in 22.2 percent of tests. The Vlingo for iPhone voice recognition technology correctly interpreted queries in 72.2 percent of cases and delivered accurate results (via Yahoo!) in 27.8 percent of tests.]]> We’re back! It was a bumpy ride, but I used the traditional summer slowdown to move to a new host and connect with an experienced team of professionals specialized in helping businesses develop converged Web and Mobile solutions in preparation for a new-look MSearchGroove.

But the real news is Pump Up The Volume: An Assessment of Voice-Enabled Web Search on the iPhone, MSearchGroove’s new-release white paper assessing the performance of voice search on an iPhone offered by ChaCha, Google and Vlingo (using Yahoo!), which you can download here. The report is especially timely, coming on the heels of today’s announcement by Google that it has fine-tuned the mobile app versions of its Google Voice service for Blackberry and Android. (More on the user experience via this detailed post at GigaOm.)

The top-level findings: ChaCha, a fast-growing SMS mobile search service available in the U.S. in the industry, “proved superior” to two other voice-enabled search options for the iPhone: the Google Mobile App with Voice and Vlingo for iPhone, a voice enabled application that allows users to direct their spoken queries to Google or Yahoo! (For the purposes of this study Vlingo provided a spoken interface to the Yahoo! search engine.)

ChaCha proved to offer exceptional results, with its human guides interpreting the search query accurately in the majority of cases. According to the study, ChaCha interpreted natural language search queries, that is, queries asked as questions, accurately in 94.4 percent of the tests and delivered an accurate search result in 88.9 percent of cases. The Google voice recognition technology interpreted queries accurately in 16.7 percent of tests and delivered accurate search results in 22.2 percent of tests. The Vlingo for iPhone voice recognition technology correctly interpreted queries in 72.2 percent of cases and delivered accurate results (via Yahoo!) in 27.8 percent of tests.

My personal thanks to esteemed colleague and associate Peggy Albright, the study’s lead analyst and principal author, and Bill Meisel, editor of Speech Strategy News and a leading authority on market and product opportunities created by the maturing of speech technology. Bill is also the president of president of TMA Associates and I look forward to showcasing his work and ideas on MSG soon.

Tomorrow: More report findings and surprising observations on the dismal state of mobile search.

Disclaimer: The complete report is available for free download here. This white paper is published by MSearchGroove. It contains the findings of independent research and analysis carried out by Peggy Albright, Albright Communications, and Peggy Anne Salz, MSearchGroove in January 2009. The research methodology was developed by Peggy Albright. The research was sponsored by ChaCha. The opinions expressed in this white paper are those of Peggy Albright and Peggy Anne Salz, and do not reflect the opinions of the organizations referenced in this paper.

]]> http://www.mobilegroove.com/not-the-usual-suspects-new-msearchgroove-report-reveals-chacha-outperforms-mobile-voice-search-from-google-chacha-vlingo-using-yahoo/feed/ 0 http://www.mobilegroove.com/msg-wraps-up-mobile-advertising-research-uk-gears-up-for-mobile-search-masterclass/ http://www.mobilegroove.com/msg-wraps-up-mobile-advertising-research-uk-gears-up-for-mobile-search-masterclass/#comments Fri, 26 Jun 2009 13:28:06 +0000 Peggy Anne Salz http://www.mobilegroove.com/?p=2842 was commissioned to conduct Mobile Advertising Research UK, a project research endorsed by the Interactive Advertising Bureau (IAB) and the Mobile Marketing Association (MMA), to expertly document the state of the mobile advertising industry in the U.K. and identify growth opportunities in the emerging mobile advertising marketplace. The report -- which combines valuable consumer insights gathered by ÆNEAS Strategy Consulting and Management (coordinated by my esteemed colleagues Tarik Fawzi and Atva van Zanten) and qualitative research based on more than 20 interviews with operators, enablers, agencies and brands contributed by MSG -- marks the first in a series of region-specific reports that will include Germany (2009) and North America (2010). During the inaugural event (Mobile Advertising Research U.K.) last week in London, Tarik and I presented an overview of key findings (documented by MSearchGroove here) and revealed the results of an online survey of over 1,000 British. consumers. Pricing is GBP 2,999 ($4,866) for the report, and a 500 GBP discount is available for MMA/IAB members, and people who attended the event. For more information, email James Cameron (james@camerjam.com) or call +44 7940 749874. And speaking of reports, I am pleased to announce that I will provide a sneak-peak at the results of a performance analysis of voice-enabled mobile search services from search giants Google, Yahoo! & ChaCha during a special Mobile Search Masterclass in London on June 30.]]> It has been a crazy-busy, exciting week at MSG! The Mobile Advertising Research U.K. report, which combines desk research with extensive primary research and surveys to offer invaluable insight into the attitudes of people and companies across the emerging mobile advertising business ecosystem, is ready for release after receiving the final polish.

Regular readers will recall that MSG was commissioned to conduct Mobile Advertising Research UK, a project research endorsed by the Interactive Advertising Bureau (IAB) and the Mobile Marketing Association (MMA), to expertly document the state of the mobile advertising industry in the U.K. and identify growth opportunities in the emerging mobile advertising marketplace.

The report — which combines valuable consumer insights gathered by ÆNEAS Strategy Consulting and Management (coordinated by my esteemed colleagues Tarik Fawzi and Atva van Zanten) and qualitative research based on more than 20 interviews with operators, enablers, agencies and brands contributed by MSG — marks the first in a series of region-specific reports that will include Germany (2009) and North America (2010).

During the inaugural event (Mobile Advertising Research U.K.) last week in London, Tarik and I presented an overview of key findings (documented by MSearchGroove here) and revealed the results of an online survey of over 1,000 British. consumers. Pricing is GBP 2,999 ($4,866) for the report, and a 500 GBP discount is available for MMA/IAB members, and people who attended the event. For more details, click here.

And speaking of reports, I am pleased to announce that I will provide a sneak-peak at the results of a performance analysis of voice-enabled mobile search services from search giants Google, Yahoo! & ChaCha during a special Mobile Search Masterclass in London on June 30.

By way of background, this course is part of The City University London’s Masterclass series, a collaboration between the giCentre and the Centre for Interactive Systems Research at the University. It will be run for the second year following from feedback last year and is endorsed by the Mobile Data Association (MDA). Registration is GBP295 and the organizers tell me there are still a few seats available, so email Mark Firman (mfirman@soi.city.ac.uk) to reserve your place.

The complete findings will be released in July, but I can say that ChaCha, a fast-growing SMS mobile search service available in the U.S., “proved superior” to two other voice-enabled search options for the iPhone: the Google Mobile App with Voice and Vlingo for iPhone, a voice-enabled application that allows users to direct their spoken queries to Google or Yahoo! For the purposes of this study, Vlingo provided a spoken interface to the Yahoo! search engine.

To evaluate the overall performance of voice-enabled mobile services offered by ChaCha, Google and Vlingo for iPhone with Yahoo!, we asked a series of 18 queries representative of six typical mobile search categories (Navigational, Directions, Information Local, Information General, Social, and Long-Tail). For each query, we evaluated nine performance characteristics including response time, results accuracy, voice recognition accuracy, number of results received, keytaps required, relevancy of the result, location awareness, use of advertising and presence of other value-added features. The study further took into account that a service could deliver its search results in the form of answers (as ChaCha offers) or as links to Web pages (which Google and Vlingo deliver); for each query tested, an accurate result could be achieved in either form.

In addition to going over some high-level results, I will also present an overview of the mobile search landscape, focusing particular attention on the 10+ categories of mobile search gaining significant traction, including multimodal (voice/visual), mobile vertical search (music/games) and social search, a people-powered search approach that effectively infuses human preferences and human judgments into computer algorithms to pinpoint relevant information and better answers.

This presentation is based on the work I did with Rudy De Waele, blogger at mTrends and dotopen founder, in preparation for a workshop on Mobile Search Future Prospects organized by JRC IPTS (Institute for Prospective Technological Studies of the European Commission).

Other masterclass speakers and sessions will examine a range of topics and developments, including: mobile search statistics and surveys, key trends and developments, location services and search user interfaces and usability, and the range of content and advertising monetization models involving mobile search. I’m honored to join an impressive roster of industry authorities from companies including AmbieSense Ltd., a provider of ambient search services; Microsoft Research (Cambridge); g8wave Ltd., a mobile marketing company; and Mobile Commerce Ltd., a provider of location-based services that also possesses what the founders call a “piece of enablement” that gives them deep insight into the search queries passed through the operator portals in the U.K., and the results set returned to the user. This central position, combined with the company’s prowess in search advertising, makes MC a top address for the inside track on the quality of the mobile search experience offered by Google and Yahoo!, as well as their ability to deliver relevant results to users’ queries.

Last year, the case studies and analytics provided by Colin Bates, Mobile Commerce CTO, data also reported on MSearchGroove, provided invaluable insight into the most popular categories of mobile search queries and what users really want from their mobile search experience. The eye-opening observation: “Users are grazing, not researching. They are looking for time-fillers rather than facts, and they are using search boxes for site-finding rather than data-finding.”

It will be exciting to explore how mobile search has moved on and discuss where it is going. If you plan to attend and would like to meet up or catch up, please contact me directly (peggy@msearchgroove.com) or arrange an appointment with Andrea Henninge (andrea@msearchgroove.com). I hope to see you soon and will circle back with analysis after the event.

]]> http://www.mobilegroove.com/msg-wraps-up-mobile-advertising-research-uk-gears-up-for-mobile-search-masterclass/feed/ 0 http://www.mobilegroove.com/data-points-novarra-mobile-internet-use-local-content-rises-movies-iphone-ipod-touch-users-do-more-online/ http://www.mobilegroove.com/data-points-novarra-mobile-internet-use-local-content-rises-movies-iphone-ipod-touch-users-do-more-online/#comments Mon, 22 Jun 2009 18:22:21 +0000 Mark Hawkins http://www.mobilegroove.com/?p=2831
1. Devices don't' matter (much): Users with standard feature phones will use the Web as much or even more than a smartphone user if the mobile Internet experience is good
2. There is a 'long tail' in the mobile Internet: The top website typically accounts for 5 percent of total mobile page views. The number two site accounts for less than 1 percent of traffic. And the top 500 sites account for only 25-30 percent of all page views
3. Sessions vary: 40 percent of mobile internet sessions are under five minutes and 40 percent are over 15 minutes
The report further groups mobile users into 'tribes' based on their distinctive user profiles. These are:
• The Business Pro - Dependent on their mobile to be more productive and to handle all their communications
• The Mobile Millennial - Early adopters and young adults with disposable income
• The Connected Kid - Children and teenagers who have grown up with technology from a young age
• Frugal Fanatics utilise handset customisation services more than twice as much as any other group
• Connected Kids have far more page views relative to sessions than any other group, indicating they tend to surf more for entertainment purposes
• Source
]]> QUARTER OF GLOBAL USERS ACCESS MOBILE INTERNET VIA NOVARRA PLATFORM.  Novarra announced its Mobile Internet Experience Update with the news that two thirds of U.S. mobile phone users and one quarter of all global users have access to some form of mobile Internet service via the Novarra platform today.  A benchmark report gives a broad overview of how consumers access and use the internet via mobile phones with Novarra’s Vision browser and mobile Internet platform.

Among the overall findings:

• Devices don’t’ matter (much): Users with standard feature phones will use the Web as much or even more than a smartphone user if the mobile Internet experience is good
• There is a ‘long tail’ in the mobile Internet: The top website typically accounts for 5 percent of total mobile page views. The number two site accounts for less than 1 percent of traffic. And the top 500 sites account for only 25-30 percent of all page views
• Sessions vary: 40 percent of mobile internet sessions are under five minutes and 40 percent are over 15 minutes

The report further groups mobile users into ‘tribes’ based on their distinctive user profiles. These are:

• The Business Pro – Dependent on their mobile to be more productive and to handle all their communications
• The Mobile Millennial – Early adopters and young adults with disposable income
• The Connected Kid – Children and teenagers who have grown up with technology from a young age
• The Multitasking Parent – Use their mobile phone to stay in touch and manage family schedules
• The Frugal Fanatic – Cost conscious of spending, usually opting for a free handset

Based on these observations and segmentation the report concludes:

• Multitasking Parents and Mobile Millennials are the most active user populations, generating nearly 2/3 of mobile browsing sessions between them
• Business Pros even with their highly capable devices, generate less mobile browsing sessions than expected. They also use news, sports and information sites twice as much as nearly all other groups and are lowest for social networks
• Mobile Millennial and Connected Kids are by far the heaviest users of social networks
• Frugal Fanatics utilise handset customisation services more than twice as much as any other group
• Connected Kids have far more page views relative to sessions than any other group, indicating they tend to surf more for entertainment purposes
• Source

The bottom line: The Mobile Internet, and indeed many mobile services, would fail to survive and thrive without technical companies such as Novarra, largely unknown to the masses, but which provide critical back-end solutions. Peggy adds: Kudos to Novarra for an excellent report! Not a lot of rocket science here, but an important confirmation of the groups of people on the mobile Web and an overview of what they do. Read between the lines, and you’ll see there is a great deal of untapped value in developing (and branding) life-enabling/life-simplifying services for the Multitasking Parents and Mobile Millennials, who are the most active user populations and – potentially – most responsive to companies that make their lives easier. (I highly recommend you check out my fireside chat with Ogilvy’s Rory Sutherland, packed with some surprising business model suggestions, supported by the findings above.)

***

LOCAL MOBILE CONTENT ATTRACTS SIGNIFICANT AUDIENCE. Local content views are up 51 percent over the past year, according to comScore figures. Research also reveals that application downloads are leading the growth.  It observes an 83 percent increase in the number of subscribers to local content via applications since March 2008, with text messaging services also outpacing average growth.  The study shows a 72 per cent increase in SMS subscriptions in the 12 months to March 2009.

Meanwhile, browser based access continues to grow at a rate of 34 percent year on year over the same period and, despite the slower growth rate, remains the dominant method for retrieving local content.  It accounted for 63.7 percent of all downloads in March 2009. Earlier research by comScore found younger mobile users tend to retrieve more entertainment content, while older users across Europe usually prefer financial information. Source

The bottom line: These generally encouraging comScore statistics confirm our hunch that applications downloads and mobile Internet usage are on the rise. However, the surge in local mobile content may not reflect a universal trend. It’s likely that the popularity of local content is a product of context. In other words, local content thrives in a handful of large, dense, urban regions where high-speed network coverage and captive audiences are the norm. Peggy adds: These stats also question our assumption that the global giants we know rule the roost. Take Skyrock in France, which is bigger that Facebook can ever hope to be. The popularity and reach of local content – particularly on personal devices such as our mobile phones – is sure to climb.

***

MOBILE ADVERTISING FOR MOVIES AND ALCOHOL SET BENCHMARK for industry, according to a study by Amethon Mobile Internet Insight.  The study also states that despite high CTRs, brands should focus on the quality of engagement.

Analysis of traffic to more than 100 mobile advertising sites found that consumers view just over 3 pages per visit for best-in-class campaigns, while the average across all campaigns analyzed was only 1.53 pages. Only 33 percent of consumers venture beyond the first page of mobile campaign sites, which the research says suggests mobile advertising campaigns need more compelling content within the microsite to engage consumers more effectively.

The report found that movie related campaign sites achieve the highest engagement levels, visitors viewing an average of 1.65 pages per visit, a figure that also accounted for a 21 percent share of overall audience. Alcohol campaigns achieved a similar share of audience but suffered from poor engagement, with users often not navigating beyond the age verification page.

Portal and directory service campaigns were the most common (22 percent of all campaigns), but had a relatively low audience share and below-average engagement.  Meanwhile, content downloads such as branded wallpapers or videos in the microsite did not significantly improve engagement. Source


The bottom line: This detailed study of mobile advertising offers insightful statistics to support what many have been saying all along: Advertising must be relevant and engaging.  While it probably comes as no surprise that interest in advertising around films takes the top shot, a lot of work has to be done in the way of creative thought to the landing page and what people do after they click through. This is particularly pertinent in view of the drop off in popularity of wallpapers and video.  The other issue of poor engagement in popular alcohol campaigns, possibly due to age verification process is disappointing but not surprising or uncommon.  I explore age verification issues in more detail in a recent post here.

***

40 PERCENT OF USERS ACCESS INTERNET MORE OFTEN ON iPHONE / iPOD TOUCH THAN ON PC, according to a new demographic study from comScore and Admob.  The research also reveals that 69 percent of iPod Touch users are between 13-24 years of age, while the same age segment represents just 26 percent of iPhone users. In total, 74 percent of iPhone users are over the age of 25, compared to 31 percent of iPod touch users. Over 70 percent of users on both the iPhone and iPod touch are male.

Over the next six months, iPhone users are said to be planning to buy clothing (57 percent), entertainment (47 percent), and travel (45 percent), while iPod touch users plan to purchase clothing (61 percent), entertainment (53 percent), and mobile devices (36 percent).

By way of background, the methodology used in this primary research into the demographics and behavioral characteristics of iPhone and iPod touch users in the first half of 2009 is as follows: Participants were visitors to domains within the AdMob iPhone network who were shown survey invitation banners rather than banner ads. Those who clicked through the survey banner were presented with the mobile survey. The total sample size of iPod touch participants is 3,848, while the total number of

participants in the iPhone sample is 3,454. All results were tested for statistically significant differences at the 95 percent confidence level.  Source

The bottom line: As well as the headline that 40 percent of users access the Internet via their mobile device more often than their computer, the other key finding is the age differentiation.  You could surmise from this that teenagers can convince their parents to buy them an iPod touch, but not an iPhone and all its recurring bills. Other findings such as average salary were largely in-line with the age difference.  The ongoing generation of such data is key in the production of applications and the execution of mobile advertising strategies.

***

LG EXPECTS NINE PERCENT RISE in mobile sales.  The Korean handset manufacturer has said it will sell 110 million devices this year, despite a flat global market. The company has also said this figure will rise to more than 200 million by 2012. Source

The bottom line: Handset manufacturers marginalized, at least in publicity terms, by the “bigger” names now have an uphill task to continue producing new quality devices which will gain mass market penetration and to effectively promote their core differentiators.  These bullish projections are encouraging signs of a still highly competitive marketplace.

]]> http://www.mobilegroove.com/data-points-novarra-mobile-internet-use-local-content-rises-movies-iphone-ipod-touch-users-do-more-online/feed/ 2 http://www.mobilegroove.com/data-points-41-percent-want-smart-phones-mobile-purchases-considered-safe-european-location-users-to-reach-130-billion-global-mobile-revenue-growth-slows-uk/ http://www.mobilegroove.com/data-points-41-percent-want-smart-phones-mobile-purchases-considered-safe-european-location-users-to-reach-130-billion-global-mobile-revenue-growth-slows-uk/#comments Fri, 12 Jun 2009 19:55:53 +0000 Mark Hawkins http://www.mobilegroove.com/?p=2797 Source The bottom line: The proliferation of full-featured handsets and the advance of payment mechanisms (other than the ones operators offer) have created some tension, making this an interesting space to watch. It's also worth pointing out that, while 41 percent will choose smartphones, the majority (59 percent) of consumers are not going for smartphones as their next device, nor may they even care to upgrade. *** IDLE SCREEN TECHNOLOGY ENGAGES 82 PERCENT IN TRIAL by Celltick's LiveScreen Media platform. The Telefonica mobile operators group announced the launch of an innovative idle screen marketing solution, Livescreen Media, which broadcasts news, sports, business, entertainment and lifestyle teasers - as well as advertising messages directly to the mobile idle-screens. Movistar, the Mobile Phone Company from the Telefonica Group, tested the service as part of a six-month trial in Mar del Plata, Argentina, involving around 5,000 customers, and results showed 82 percent of users engaged with the new communication channel on the idle screen. The platform is also able to segment users based on location, handset type and areas of interest which are generated from tracking user response to idle screen messages. Revenue is generated from content downloads, subscription services and advertising fees. Source ]]> 41 PERCENT  OF CONSUMERS WILL MAKE SMARTPHONES their next device, according to Yankee Group research. The report also reveals that trends within the smartphone ecosystem are shifting the balance of power between equipment manufacturers (OEMs) and operators.

Yankee further suggests smartphones are the most competitive battleground in wireless today, and predicts U.S. penetration will reach 38 percent by 2013.  More competitive device entrants, tighter budgets, and increased consumer expectations are factors that will force OEMs and operators to collaborate in order to grow. Source

The bottom line: The proliferation of full-featured handsets and the advance of payment mechanisms (other than the ones operators offer) have created some tension, making this an interesting space to watch.   It’s also worth pointing out that, while 41 percent will choose smartphones, the majority (59 percent) of consumers are not going for smartphones as their next device, nor may they even care to upgrade.

***
IDLE SCREEN TECHNOLOGY ENGAGES 82 PERCENT IN TRIAL by Celltick’s LiveScreen Media platform. The Telefonica mobile operators group announced the launch of an innovative idle screen marketing solution, Livescreen Media, which broadcasts news, sports, business, entertainment and lifestyle teasers – as well as advertising messages directly to the mobile idle-screens.

Movistar, the Mobile Phone Company from the Telefonica Group, tested the service as part of a six-month trial in Mar del Plata, Argentina, involving around 5,000 customers, and results showed 82 percent of users engaged with the new communication channel on the idle screen.  The platform is also able to segment users based on location, handset type and areas of interest which are generated from tracking user response to idle screen messages. Revenue is generated from content downloads, subscription services and advertising fees.  Source

The bottom line: As I posted on my own blog, the Idle Screen presents an enormous opportunity to drive increased data traffic and service engagement, if issues of bandwidth and battery life can be overcome.  82 percent engagement is a massive proportion of users, albeit in a local and rather limited trial. In my book it begs the question: Is further proof of concept really required?

***

PURCHASES ON MOBILE CONSIDERED SAFE BY 71 PERCENT consumers, says an eMarketer summary of recent mobile commerce statistics. The round up reveals the kind of products people want to buy from their phones, which include pizza, movie tickets, hotel rooms, and fast food the most popular.  Internet Retailer, a ranking of America’s 500 largest e-retailers, provides us more proof that mobile commerce is gaining some traction in the U.S. It reports that 5 percent of the top 500 online retailers offer m-commerce sites or iPhone apps. It estimates the U.S. m-commerce market will total $1.6 billion in 2009. Source

The bottom line: This report suggests that the U.S. is ahead of the game in m-commerce. Peggy adds: It also lends credence to the view that mobile advertising (communicating the brand message via mobile) could be just a side-show. The real excitement is building around selling stuff via mobile, a scenario that could put mobile operators (with their trusted payment mechanisms) back on center stage.

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EUROPE TO HAVE 130 MILLION MOBILE LBS USERS BY 2014. A Berg Insight report predicts that the number of European users of mobile location-based services will grow significantly from 20 million users in 2008, propelled by local search, navigation, and social networking services.

Among the drivers: On-device application stores will provide greater access to mobile services for a broader audience, flat-rate data plans will make pricing transparent and more operators are opening their location platforms up to third parties.  More than 20 percent of mobile handsets shipped in 2009 will feature GPS, and the installed base in Europe will surpass 50 percent of total handsets in 2013.  Source

The bottom line: Berg adds more fuel to the location fire with this report. Technological penetration, consumer education, and basic marketing remain key to the success of location services. And we shouldn’t forget that there’s a big difference between having the technology and using it on a regular basis.

***

NOKIA ANNOUNCES OVI STORE VISITS FROM CONSUMERS IN 152 COUNTRIES.  Two weeks after the initial Ovi launch, Nokia has revealed a range of statistics about the service. It says that the Ovi Store is accessible from over 75 Nokia devices in five languages and taps into mobile billing from 27 operators. When it comes to free downloads, the Applications category tops the list. Games is the top catgory in premium content.  Many of the most popular applications involve messaging, such as Twitter, Facebook and SMS applications. Source

The bottom line: All-systems go for Ovi. After what I described as a difficult launch, these statistics illustrate that the Ovi Store is now bedding in and beginning to enjoy use with a broad reach.  With improved user experience (which will come when the store becomes pre-installed on devices) will come increased, carrier independent use with a significant global footprint.

***
MOBILE REVENUE GROWTH SLOWS TO 3 PERCENT in Q1 2009, according to a Strategy Analytics report. Down from 8 percent a year earlier, the report, “Wireless Operator Performance Benchmarking, Q1 2009,” says nearly 40 percent of all mobile operators saw revenues fall in Q1 2009, compared to just 16 percent in the same forecast period in Q1 2008. The research, which tracks the operational and financial performance of over 175 mobile operators who account for 80 percent of global subscribers, found that a quarter of the operators in emerging markets also saw service revenues fall in Q1 2009. Source

The bottom line: Bleak reading from Strategy Analytics illustrates that the economic downturn has made a global impact on operators, and very few are immune.

****

U.S. FLIRTING ADDICTION SEES AN AVERAGE OF FIVE DAILY LOG-INS AND 26 SENT MESSAGES.  Statistics from Flirtomatic, a U.K.-based mobile and online flirting service that recently launched in America, reveals mobile flirting behavior using their service is remarkably similar on both sides of the Atlantic.  This has allowed Flirtomatic to reach critical mass in the U.S. – much earlier than expected.

By way of background, Flirtomatic, with 1.3 million U.K. users and a frequent listing in the top 5 mobile websites, stands out as one of the mobile Internet’s social networking success stories. It also offers an effective platform for advertisers, and reports an impressive 10 percent CTR.  A witty and effective campaign for Storngbow cider in the U.K. resulted in users sending (gifting) their buddies a whopping 340,000 drinks (delivered as drink tokens to their mobile phones) in just two weeks. Source

The bottom line: Given the previous gloomy story, I thought it reasonable to conclude Data Points on a lighter note this week.  Flirtomatic’s story illustrates what can be achieved if the platform, offering and audience are all in synch and the effort is made to benefit consumers, carriers, advertisers, and partner brands.

]]> http://www.mobilegroove.com/data-points-41-percent-want-smart-phones-mobile-purchases-considered-safe-european-location-users-to-reach-130-billion-global-mobile-revenue-growth-slows-uk/feed/ 0 http://www.mobilegroove.com/the-real-value-of-the-app-industry-why-apple-doesnt-rule-the-roost/ http://www.mobilegroove.com/the-real-value-of-the-app-industry-why-apple-doesnt-rule-the-roost/#comments Tue, 09 Jun 2009 23:36:31 +0000 MSG Staff http://www.mobilegroove.com/?p=2787 Editor's note: Apple has the first-mover advantage, and its App Store sets the bar. The result is a buoyant market for apps and ample opportunity for fast-followers to (perhaps) do one better. Benjamin E. Jacobsen - Co-Founder of Mobspot, Inc., a company championing "Mobile App developers and App users on any platform," and a new author to MSG - gives his take on the size of the market and the prospects for other players. IS THE APP INDUSTRY WORTH NEARLY $7 BILLION? Will Apple do nearly a billion dollars in revenue in its first year of the App Store? While the exact numbers are debatable, you can't ignore the monster success Apple has had with its store (which also drives device sales, by the way). How much money has Apple made? This post, titled Apple has made no more than $20 - 45m in revenue from the app store, gives us a figure. One I might add is not too shabby for a product yet to see its first birthday. What makes this more remarkable is that Apple has captured between 1-2 percent total market share worldwide (including feature phones), and only 10.8 percent share worldwide in the smartphone segment. Few (save Juniper) have taken a stab at valuing the total app industry. StatCounter's recent announcement that Opera Mini surpasses the iPhone's Safari as the most popular web browser for mobile phones is testament to the potential of the greater industry. Opera Mini is the most downloaded Java application of all time. So, while I am excited about the enthusiasm for the iPhone, I find the conversation is missing a big-picture perspective. The question we should be asking is: What is the total app market worldwide really worth? After all, Opera Mini's success story underlines the potential of the app market beyond just the iPhone. So, allow me to take a shot at valuing the total app industry, worldwide, for pay-apps (apps you pay to own on your phone). This is the total value excluding Of course, we have to exclude free apps like Opera Mini. In a nutshell: If Apple can do nearly $1 billion in sales its first year and has 10.8 percent smartphone market share worldwide, how much is the total smartphone app market worth? This post from AppleInsider tells us that Apple could do $777 million in App Store downloads in 2009. A 10.8 percent worldwide smartphone market share implies that the total mobile app market is $7.2 billion, if all smartphone users spend as much on apps as iPhone users do. We know that this won't be the case. A much more likely scenario is one in which smartphone users will spend far less. So, let's assume users with these handsets (other than the iPhone) spend half (50 percent) of what iPhone users on App downloads. Now let's do the math. $7.2 billion is the extrapolated industry valuation of direct revenue from apps if consumers spent as much on apps for other platforms as they do the iPhone. Let's take $7.2 billion minus $777 million (iPhone app share), and multiply that by 50 percent. That gives us a valuation of $3.2 billion for the non-iPhone app market, or $4 billion total, including the iPhone. ($7.2 billion - $777 million) * 0.5 = $3.2 billion non-iPhone app market.)]]> Editor’s note: Apple has the first-mover advantage, and its App Store sets the bar. The result is a buoyant market for apps and ample opportunity for fast-followers to (perhaps) do one better. Benjamin E. Jacobsen – Co-Founder of Mobspot, Inc., a company championing “Mobile App developers and App users on any platform,” and a new author to MSG – gives his take on the size of the market and the prospects for other players.

IS THE APP INDUSTRY WORTH NEARLY $7 BILLION? Will Apple do nearly a billion dollars in revenue in its first year of the App Store? While the exact numbers are debatable, you can’t ignore the monster success Apple has had with its store (which also drives device sales, by the way). How much money has Apple made? This post, titled Apple has made no more than $20 – 45m in revenue from the app store, gives us a figure. One I might add is not too shabby for a product yet to see its first birthday. What makes this more remarkable is that Apple has captured between 1-2 percent total market share worldwide (including feature phones), and only 10.8 percent share worldwide in the smartphone segment. Few (save Juniper) have taken a stab at valuing the total app industry.

StatCounter’s recent announcement that Opera Mini surpasses the iPhone’s Safari as the most popular web browser for mobile phones is testament to the potential of the greater industry. Opera Mini is the most downloaded Java application of all time. So, while I am excited about the enthusiasm for the iPhone, I find the conversation is missing a big-picture perspective. The question we should be asking is: What is the total app market worldwide really worth? After all, Opera Mini’s success story underlines the potential of the app market beyond just the iPhone.

So, allow me to take a shot at valuing the total app industry, worldwide, for pay-apps (apps you pay to own on your phone).  This is the total value excluding Of course, we have to exclude free apps like Opera Mini.

In a nutshell: If Apple can do nearly $1 billion in sales its first year and has 10.8 percent smartphone market share worldwide, how much is the total smartphone app market worth?

This post from AppleInsider tells us that Apple could do $777 million in App Store downloads in 2009.

A 10.8 percent worldwide smartphone market share implies that the total mobile app market is $7.2 billion, if all smartphone users spend as much on apps as iPhone users do. We know that this won’t be the case. A much more likely scenario is one in which smartphone users will spend far less.

So, let’s assume users with these handsets (other than the iPhone) spend half (50 percent) of what iPhone users on App downloads. Now let’s do the math.

$7.2 billion is the extrapolated industry valuation of direct revenue from apps if consumers spent as much on apps for other platforms as they do the iPhone. Let’s take $7.2 billion minus $777 million (iPhone app share), and multiply that by 50 percent. That gives us a valuation of $3.2 billion for the non-iPhone app market, or $4 billion total, including the iPhone.

($7.2 billion – $777 million) * 0.5 = $3.2 billion non-iPhone app market.)

Given these assumptions, the total addressable market for non-iPhone smartphone users is approximately $3.2 billion in 2009 alone. This, of course is direct app revenue, and does not include advertising, in-app sales, carrier data revenues, feature phone app sales, and other yet-to-be-developed revenue models.

What does this figure represent? Is this pent-up demand in search of a marketplace? It sure looks like it. In any case, the number is staggering, and why this fact hasn’t gotten more attention is surprising.

But I can tell you from my experience at Opera, the success of the iPhone app store is great for the industry. Apple’s app store (although benefiting from massive multimedia marketing campaigns) is the proof-point our industry needed to see its own much greater potential. Apple gets high ranks for making the job of marketing or selling an app that much easier. Mainstream consumers now realize it’s not rocket science to load an app on their phone. Now it’s part of an every-day routine for many mobile users.

Apple has created a market, but does it dominate it?

AdMob’s Mobile Metrics Report recently released compares mobile Web usage to market share of mobile devices. As this chart from AdMob shows, the iPhone literally tops the charts for mobile Web usage – and that despite the fact the device only accounts for 10.8 percent market share of devices (according to Gartner’s latest estimate).



Symbian is next, followed by RIM and Windows. With the launch of the Palm Pre, greater penetration of Android devices soon to come, and Microsoft opening its Windows Skymarket app marketplace, it’s a safe bet that consumer spending on apps on other platforms might total half of what iPhone users spend on apps (If you disagree, please make your case for lower estimates in the comments below, or email me – ben@mobspot.com .)

Let’s put a growth-figure in here. If we accept the figures from Ovum, which predict 15 percent per year growth for smartphones, then you end up with an app industry worth nearly $7 billion.




Not bad. We are excited about the App Store concept, which has taken much of the pain out of discovering and buying apps. Now is the time to get equally excited about the opportunity for apps on all platforms.

And why shouldn’t we be excited? Apple’s App store has caused a shift in consumer behavior. It has captured our interest (even passion), encouraged us to explore the mobile Web, and put downloading and purchasing apps central to our daily mobile routine.

Where does this leave Apple?

It may be riding the cool factor now, but where is it written that cool apps will only be created for the iPhone? I’m confident developers are already working on more great apps for other platforms.

Apple also doesn’t have a monopoly on delivering a great consumer experience. I’m sure developers are hard at work coming up with new approaches that likewise set the bar.

My take: Apple has created a market. But it has also paved the way for some fast followers to follow suit – and even go one be